Jhoulys Chacin (3-8, 5.92 ERA) and Chad Green (2-2, 4.05 ERA) take the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Los Angeles Angels (51-72) and the New York Yankees (63-59) at Angel Stadium. The Yankees won the last game 5-1, and New York leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 3:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 21 and can be seen on YES.
Chacin pitched 4.2 innings in his most recent start, surrendering four runs, striking out two and walking two in a 7-6 win over the Mariners. Green went 6.0 innings, surrendering zero runs and striking out 11 in a 1-0 win over the Blue Jays in his last outing. Didi Gregorius (.285, 53 Rs, 17 HRs, 56 RBIs, 5 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run.
New York is a slim -115 favorite over Los Angeles. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently nine runs. The Angels have recorded an overall money line of -2,064 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 25-48. Los Angeles has gone winless (0-7) as the underdog and 2-8 SU in its last 10 outings. The Angels have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 3.1 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.5 runs per game. Los Angeles's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 6.4 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.8.
As for their opponent, in contrast to a worrisome overall money line (-169), New York has an impressive 41-26 record when playing as the favorite. New York is excellent at making contact with just 7.2 strikeouts per game, ranking fourth in the AL. When it comes to issuing walks, the Yankees have the fewest in the AL with only 2.6 walks allowed per game.
The Yankees have dominated the season series, 6-0. The Angels have a 35-54 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Green takes the mound. Chacin (RHP) will be on the hill against the Yankees, who have a 45-39 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Over
Los Angeles has won 40% (21-32) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, New York has won 54% (34-29) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Yankees are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Angels have a 13-36 record when opponents give up two walks or less.
When they are outhit, the Angels are 7-56. The Yankees have a 12-48 record when opponents outhit them.
Both falling near the bottom of the league based on total home runs this season, Los Angeles ranks 25th with 118 homers and New York is 21st with 134.
Ranking 13th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.45 per game. Los Angeles ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 8.86.
Ranking 25th, New York is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.715). Los Angeles ranks in the bottom half at 20th with an OPS of .731.
When the Yankees allow at least one home run, they are 37-48. When the Angels allow one or more homers, they have a 28-58 record.