Vince Velasquez (8-5, 4.14 ERA) and the Philadelphia Phillies (58-66) go up against Mike Leake (8-9, 4.78 ERA) and the St. Louis Cardinals (65-57) in the last of a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies won the last game 4-2, and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 21 and will air on CSPh and FSMW.
In his most recent outing, Velasquez pitched 5.2 innings, giving up five runs, striking out 10 and walking one in a 15-5 loss to the Dodgers. Maikel Franco (.251, 53 Rs, 22 HRs, 72 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run and one RBI. The Cardinals were victorious over the Cubs 6-4 the last time Leake pitched. He went 6.0 innings, allowing three runs, striking out four and walking one. Matt Carpenter (.288, 62 Rs, 15 HRs, 56 RBIs) has been hitting the ball well, going 2 for 3 yesterday.
Philadelphia, a +117 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against St. Louis. The teams combine to set the Over/Under (O/U) at eight runs. The Phillies are 39-53 as the underdog and have an overall money line of +661. Philadelphia has averaged 5.1 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 3.8. Philadelphia's pitching staff will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent struggles. The Phillies have given up an average of 6.5 runs to opponents in their last 10 games, above their season average of 4.7 runs per game.
On the other side, the Cardinals have a record of 44-36 when they are favored and are +71 overall with the money line. They have played at the top of their game when rated as the favorite recently. They managed a 3-1 record when playing as the favorite and a SU record of 7-3. The Cardinals are the top-ranked scoring offense in the NL when playing on the road, averaging five runs per game so far. St. Louis is one of the top hitting teams in the league with 430 extra base hits. Switching gears to St. Louis's pitching staff, they allow just 2.9 walks per game, good for fifth in the NL.
The Cardinals have mostly come out on top against the Phillies in their previous six games this season, earning a 4-2 record. This game will feature Leake (RHP) on the mound against the Phillies, who have a 43-52 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Cardinals will be the right-hander Velasquez. They sport a 48-36 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - STL, O/U - Over
When leading after seven innings, St. Louis is 30-24, while Philadelphia is 29-30.
The Cardinals are coming into this game after allowing no walks during their last outing. The Phillies have a 4-10 record when opponents don't give up any walks.
When they outhit their opponents, the Phillies are 38-7. The Cardinals have a 44-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 28th in runs, Philadelphia has earned 473 this season. St. Louis ranks fifth with 605 runs.
Ranking 28th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 317 this season. St. Louis ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 413.
The Phillies are 49-36 when they hit at least one home run. The Cardinals perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 53-36 record.