Ariel Miranda (1-0, 5.79 ERA) and Matt Garza (4-5, 4.87 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the Seattle Mariners (66-56) and the Milwaukee Brewers (52-70) at Safeco Field. The Brewers lost the last game 8-2, continuing a six-game losing streak. Action begins at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 21 and can be seen on FSWI and RTNW.
Miranda pitched 5.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering three runs, striking out two and walking four in a 7-6 defeat to the Angels. Nelson Cruz (.285, 72 Rs, 31 HRs, 76 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run. Garza went 5.0 innings, surrendering three runs, striking out two and walking three in a 4-0 defeat to the Cubs in his last outing. Ryan Braun (.319, 62 Rs, 22 HRs, 68 RBIs, 13 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Seattle is a -168 favorite against Milwaukee and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Mariners have an overall money line of +360 and a record as the favorite of 37-29. Seattle is unbeaten as the favorite and has a 7-3 SU record in its last ten outings. The Mariners have seen an uptick in scoring against teams in the NL, averaging 6.2 runs per game. They average 4.7 runs per game on the season. Seattle is one of the best in the AL in terms of walks at home, earning an average of 3.4 per game. Crossing over to the pitching and defensive side, it's been a struggle for opposing teams to score runs against the Mariners. The 4.3 runs that Seattle's pitchers allow per game makes them the fifth-ranked staff in the AL. The Mariners are the third-best team in the AL at limiting hits during home games, allowing only 8.5 hits per game to their opponents this season. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Mariners, who rank fifth in the AL in strikeouts per game with 8.3.
As for their opponent, Milwaukee is coming in with an overall money line of -1,066 and a disappointing record of 33-52 as the underdog. They have been on a bit of a dry streak over their last 10 games. They managed a 0-5 record when playing as the underdog. Offensively, the Brewers have really picked up the pace in interleague games. They have exceeded their season average of 4.1 runs per game by averaging 4.8 in those contests. The Brewers are an excellent base-stealing team with an MLB-best 137 stolen bases.
The Mariners have the edge in the season series, 2-0. The Mariners have a 47-31 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Garza takes the mound. Miranda (LHP) will be on the hill against the Brewers, who have a 22-16 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - SEA, O/U - Over
When leading after seven innings, Seattle is 28-26, while Milwaukee is 21-30.
The Brewers are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded two strikeouts. The Mariners have a record of 1-1 when opponents' pitchers have two strikeouts or less.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 8-58. The Mariners have a 14-39 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 20th in home runs, Milwaukee has hit 135 this season. Seattle ranks third with 172 home runs.
Ranking 12th, Milwaukee is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.12 per game. Seattle ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 8.86.
Ranking 21st, Milwaukee is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.729). Seattle ranks in the top 10 at eighth with an OPS of .764.
When the Brewers allow at least one home run, they are 32-53. When the Mariners allow one or more homers, they have a 43-46 record.