Noah Syndergaard (10-7, 2.76 ERA) takes the hill for the New York Mets (61-62) as they square off against Jeff Samardzija (10-8, 4.24 ERA) and the San Francisco Giants (68-55) in the last of a four-game series at AT&T Park. The Mets won the last game 9-5, and San Francisco leads the series 2-1. Action begins at 8:08 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 21 and can be seen on ESPN.
Samardzija pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs, striking out five and walking one in a 4-3 defeat to the Pirates. Hunter Pence (.280, 36 Rs, 8 HRs, 41 RBIs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 3 with one run. Syndergaard went 5.2 innings, surrendering four runs (two unearned), striking out eight and walking two in a 7-5 win over the Diamondbacks in his most recent start. Yoenis Cespedes (.293, 51 Rs, 24 HRs, 62 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Mets, going 3 for 5 yesterday with two runs, two home runs, and three RBIs.
New York takes on San Francisco as a -120 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at seven runs. The Giants have an overall money line of -175 and a record as the underdog of 18-24. The Giants are one of the best in the NL in terms of hits at home with a phenomenal 9.1 per game. San Francisco strikes out the least of any team in the NL at home, with only 6.6 per game. Opposing batters know they're in for a battle when they play San Francisco. The Giants are one of the top teams when it comes to pitching, allowing just 4.1 runs per game. The Giants are the fifth-best team in the NL at limiting hits to their opponents, allowing only 8.4 hits per game so far this season.
In games where it is the favorite, New York has a 45-38 record and an overall money line of -1,613. Offensively, the Mets have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.8 runs per game by averaging 4.9 during that stretch. The Mets allow 3.9 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 7.1 runs per game during that span.
The Giants have a 44-40 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Syndergaard takes the mound. Samardzija (RHP) will be on the hill against the Mets, who have a 46-44 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - SF, O/U - Over
New York has won 48% (22-24) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, San Francisco has won 56% (25-20) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Mets managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Giants who are heading in with a 38-22 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Mets are 40-11. The Giants have a 49-13 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 29th in runs, New York has earned 467 this season. San Francisco ranks 15th with 556 runs.
Ranking 15th, New York is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 373 this season. San Francisco ranks in the top five at fourth with 453.
When the Giants hit at least one home run, they are 44-26, well-matched with the Mets who are 52-34 when hitting one or more homers.