Ian Kennedy (7-9, 3.78 ERA) and Hector Santiago (10-7, 4.80 ERA) start in the third of a four-game series between the Kansas City Royals (62-60) and the Minnesota Twins (49-73) at Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium. The Royals won the last game 5-4, continuing a six-game winning streak. Action begins at 7:15 p.m. ET on Saturday, Aug. 20 and can be seen on FSKC and FSN.
Kennedy pitched 6.2 innings in his last outing, surrendering one run, striking out five and walking one in a 3-1 win over the Tigers. Kendrys Morales (.243, 43 Rs, 20 HRs, 57 RBIs) went 1 for 5 yesterday. Santiago went 4.0 innings, surrendering seven runs and striking out two in an 11-4 defeat to the Royals in his most recent start. Brian Dozier (.269, 75 Rs, 28 HRs, 74 RBIs, 9 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Twins, going 2 for 4 yesterday with two runs, one home run, one RBI, and one stolen base.
Kansas City is a -138 favorite against Minnesota and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. The Royals have recorded an overall money line of +437 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 29-12. Kansas City is unbeaten as the favorite and has an 8-2 SU record in its last ten outings. The Royals have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.2 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.0 runs per game. The Royals are one of the best in the AL in terms of hits at home with a phenomenal 9.5 per game. Kansas City's batters do not strike out very often, with only 7.5 per game. Kansas City's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 2.6 runs per game, well under their season average of 4.2.
In games where it is the underdog, Minnesota has a 37-55 record and an overall money line of -1,282. They have played poorly as the underdog with a 12-21 record against AL Central foes, and a 4-6 record SU. Offensively, the Twins have really sputtered in division games. They have decreased their season average of 4.6 runs per game by averaging 4.1 in those contests. Minnesota is excellent at drawing walks with 3.2 per game, ranking fourth in the AL. The Twins allow 5.3 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 6.7 runs per game during that span. When it comes to issuing walks, the Twins have the second-fewest in the AL with an average of just 2.6 walks allowed per game.
The Royals have controlled the season series, 9-2. The Royals have a 14-15 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Santiago takes the mound. Kennedy (RHP) will be on the hill against the Twins, who have a inferior 34-57 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - KC, O/U - Under
Minnesota is 3-6-1 SU in its last 10 games,.
Minnesota is 2-11-1 SU in its last 14 games, when playing Kansas City.
Minnesota is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games, when playing on the road against Kansas City.
Kansas City 4-0-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota.
In their last game, the Twins lost by a margin of one run. The Royals are 18-15 in one-run games. The Twins have an 11-20 record in close games.
The Royals managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Twins who are coming in with a 16-15 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
The Royals are coming into the game with six consecutive wins, while the Twins currently have a losing streak of two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Royals are 50-16. The Twins have a 36-7 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 26th, Kansas City is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 483 this season. Minnesota ranks in the top half at 11th with 561.
Ranking 30th, Kansas City is at the bottom of the league in walks, notching 283 this season. Minnesota ranks in the top half at 12th with 390.
The Royals are 42-33 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Twins are 40-40 when they hit at least one homer.