In the second of a three-game series between the Seattle Mariners (65-56) and the Milwaukee Brewers (52-69) at Safeco Field, Felix Hernandez (7-4, 3.34 ERA) and Wily Peralta (5-8, 6.00 ERA) get the ball. The Brewers lost the last game 7-6, extending a five-game losing streak. The game gets underway at 9:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Aug. 20 and will air on FSWI and RTNW.
In his most recent outing, Hernandez pitched 6.2 innings, allowing two runs, striking out eight and walking four in a 3-2 victory over the Angels. Nelson Cruz (.286, 71 Rs, 31 HRs, 76 RBIs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run and one RBI. The Brewers were victorious over the Reds 7-3 the last time Peralta pitched. He went 6.0 innings, giving up one run, striking out five and walking one. Chris Carter (.221, 59 Rs, 28 HRs, 67 RBIs, 2 SBs) has been doing well, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Seattle is a heavy -210 favorite at home and the Over/Under (O/U) for this matchup is set at eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Mariners have a 36-29 record and overall money line at +260. They are 7-3 SU and perfect as the favorite (5-0) in their last 10 games. Seattle has averaged 6.1 runs per game during interleague play, higher than its season average of 4.7. They have been very patient at the plate during home games, ranking fifth in the AL with an average of 3.4 walks per game. Transitioning to the Seattle defense and pitching staff, teams routinely struggle to score runs against the Mariners, who allow only 4.3 runs per game. The Mariners don't give up many hits to opposing batters at Safeco Field, ranking third in the AL with only 8.5 hits allowed per home game. They have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out, averaging 8.3 strikeouts per game.
Switching gears, the Brewers come into this game with a weak win percentage of .393 when playing as the underdog (33-51) and an overall money line of -966. Over the last 10 games, the team is winless as the underdog with a 0-4 record and 3-7 SU. Milwaukee has stepped up their play against AL opponents, averaging an impressive 4.7 runs per game compared to their 4.1 runs per game season average. The Brewers have racked up 136 steals on the year, making them the most threatening base-running team in the league.
The only other game between the two teams went Seattle's way. This game will feature Peralta (RHP) on the mound against the Mariners, who have a 46-31 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Brewers will be the right-hander Hernandez. Right-handed starters have been a big issue for them as they sport records of 10-30 on the road and 30-53 overall.
Predictions: SU Winner - SEA, O/U - Over
Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 9 games.
Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
In their last game, the Brewers lost by a margin of one run. The Mariners are 23-22 in one-run games. The Brewers have a 16-23 record in close games.
Milwaukee has won 42% (21-29) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Seattle has won 51% (27-26) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Brewers managed to give up six walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Mariners who are heading in with a 12-5 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Mariners are 47-10. The Brewers have a 43-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 24th, Milwaukee sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 495 this season. Seattle ranks in the top 10 with 565.
Ranking 13th, Seattle is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 379 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top five at second with 466.
When the Mariners hit at least one home run, they are 53-37, well-matched with the Brewers who are 41-34 when hitting one or more homers.