In the third of a four-game series between the San Diego Padres (52-70) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (50-72) at Petco Park, Clayton Richard (0-2, 5.75 ERA) and Robbie Ray (6-11, 4.47 ERA) get the ball. The Padres won the last game 7-4, and San Diego leads the series 2-0. The game gets underway at 8:40 p.m. ET on Saturday, Aug. 20 and will air on FSAZ and FSSD.
In his most recent outing, Richard pitched 5.0 innings, allowing two runs, striking out three and walking three in a 5-1 loss to the Mets. Yangervis Solarte (.289, 44 Rs, 13 HRs, 52 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday with two runs. The Diamondbacks were victorious the last time Ray pitched. He pitched well, going 5.0 innings, allowing two, striking out five and walking two in a 10-6 victory over the Mets. Paul Goldschmidt (.301, 79 Rs, 18 HRs, 74 RBIs, 19 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one stolen base.
San Diego is a +117 underdog in this game, and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. The Padres have a losing record of 38-63 when playing as the underdog and an overall money line of -160. They are 2-7 as the underdog over their last 10 games. San Diego has averaged 3.1 runs per game over the last 10 games, lower than its season average of 4.4. The Padres are a nightmare on the bases for opponents with 102 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball.
Switching to the opposing dugout, the Diamondbacks come into this game with a win percentage of .500 when playing as the favorite (24-24) and an overall money line of -1,918. Over the last 10 games, the team is unbeaten as the favorite with a perfect 2-0 record and 5-5 SU. Arizona has been playing better lately, averaging 6.2 runs per game, more than their season average of 4.6. Arizona is one of the top road hitting teams in the NL with an average of 9.3 hits per contest. Arizona is a terror on the base paths, ranking fifth in the MLB with 100 stolen bases. Switching gears to Arizona's pitching staff, they have some of the most overpowering arms in the NL with an average of 8.0 strikeouts per road game.
The Padres have gotten the best of the Diamondbacks in head-to-head matchups this season, going 6-5. The Padres will take on a left-hander (Ray) in this game and have a 15-16 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. The left-handed Richard will take the mound against the Diamondbacks, who have a 16-16 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - ARI, O/U - Over
Arizona is 2-5-1 SU in its last 8 games,.
Arizona is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games, on the road.
Arizona is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games, when playing San Diego.
When leading after seven innings, San Diego is 22-28, while Arizona is 24-37.
The Diamondbacks managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Padres who are heading in with a 21-7 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Diamondbacks are 8-51. The Padres have an 11-51 record when opponents outhit them.
San Diego and Arizona both rank in the bottom half of the league in home runs. San Diego sits at 16th with 142 home runs this season and Arizona ranks 18th with 140.
Ranking 14th, San Diego is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.05 per game. Arizona ranks in the top five at third with 9.25.
Ranking 28th, San Diego is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.703). Arizona ranks in the top 10 with an OPS of .760.
When the Diamondbacks allow at least one home run, they are 25-60, well-matched with the Padres who are 27-51 when allowing at least one homer.