Jeremy Hellickson (9-7, 3.65 ERA) and Luke Weaver (0-0, 4.50 ERA) take the hill in the second of a three-game series between the Philadelphia Phillies (57-66) and the St. Louis Cardinals (65-56) at Citizens Bank Park. The Cardinals won the last game 4-3, continuing a five-game winning streak. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, Aug. 20 and can be seen on CSPh and FSMW.
Hellickson pitched 5.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering one run, striking out seven and walking one in a 6-2 win over the Dodgers. Odubel Herrera (.283, 66 Rs, 13 HRs, 42 RBIs, 19 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 5 with two runs, one home run, and one RBI. Weaver went 4.0 innings, surrendering two runs, striking out three and walking three in an 8-4 win over the Cubs in his most recent start.
St. Louis takes on Philadelphia as a -132 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at nine runs. The Phillies have an overall money line of +761 and a record as the underdog of 39-52. The Phillies have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.4 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.8 runs per game. Philadelphia's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 6.6 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.7.
In games where it is the favorite, St. Louis has a 43-36 record and an overall money line of -29. Offensively, they average five runs per game on the road, which is the best in the NL. The Cardinals have a dynamic offense, ranking second in the league with 427 extra base hits. When it comes to issuing walks, the Cardinals have the fifth-fewest in the NL with an average of just 2.8 walks allowed per game.
The Cardinals lead the season series, 4-1. The Phillies have a 43-51 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Weaver takes the mound. Hellickson (RHP) will be on the hill against the Cardinals, who have a 48-36 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - STL, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Cardinals won by a margin of one run. The Phillies are 25-16 in one-run games. The Cardinals have an 18-18 record in close games.
The Phillies are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded six strikeouts. The Cardinals have a record of 22-16 when opponents' pitchers have six strikeouts or less.
When they are outhit, the Phillies are 14-52. The Cardinals have a 14-49 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 23rd in home runs, Philadelphia has hit 126 this season. St. Louis ranks third with 168 home runs.
Ranking 13th, Philadelphia is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.09 per game. St. Louis ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 8.80.
Ranking 29th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.691). St. Louis ranks in the top 10 at sixth with an OPS of .774.
The Cardinals are 35-36 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Phillies are 25-52 when they allow at least one homer.