Chad Kuhl (3-0, 3.73 ERA) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (62-57) go up against David Phelps (6-6, 2.48 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (63-59) in the second of a three-game series at PNC Park. The Marlins won the last game 6-5, and Miami leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET on Saturday, Aug. 20 and will air on FSFL and RTPT.
In his most recent outing, Kuhl pitched 6.0 innings, giving up two runs and striking out five in an 11-3 victory over the Dodgers. Gregory Polanco (.273, 62 Rs, 17 HRs, 67 RBIs, 11 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run. The Marlins were also victorious the last time Phelps pitched. He had a good outing, pitching 5.1 innings, allowing two runs, striking out eight and walking one in a 6-3 victory over the Reds. Giancarlo Stanton (.244, 52 Rs, 25 HRs, 70 RBIs) has been hitting the ball well for the Marlins, going 3 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and three RBIs.
Pittsburgh, a -133 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Miami. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is eight runs. The Pirates are 33-30 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +461.
Moving on to the away team, the Marlins come into this game with a win percentage of .516 when playing as the underdog (32-30) and an overall money line of -123. They have played poorly as the underdog as of late. They managed a 1-3 record when playing as the underdog and a SU record of 3-7. Miami is one of the top hitting teams in the NL with an average of 9.4 hits per contest. Opposing pitchers have routinely struggled to strike out the Miami batters, who rank fourth in the NL with 7.6 strikeouts per game. Switching gears to Miami's pitching staff, they have some of the most overpowering arms in the NL with an average of 8.6 strikeouts per game.
The Marlins are 4-1 against the Pirates this season. This game will feature Phelps (RHP) on the mound against the Pirates, who have a 44-48 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Marlins will be the right-hander Kuhl. They sport a 41-51 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - PIT, O/U - Over
The Marlins won their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Pirates are 17-13. The Marlins are 17-16 in close games this season.
Pittsburgh has won 45% (25-31) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Miami has won 49% (28-29) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Marlins managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Pirates who are heading in with a 32-21 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 52-14. The Pirates have a 39-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 21st in runs, Miami has earned 522 this season. Pittsburgh ranks 16th with 546 runs.
Ranking 20th, Miami is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 350 this season. Pittsburgh ranks in the top 10 with 394.
The Pirates are 44-26 when they hit at least one home run. The Marlins perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 45-30 record.