Jered Weaver (8-10, 5.32 ERA) and the Los Angeles Angels (51-70) meet Masahiro Tanaka (9-4, 3.40 ERA) and the New York Yankees (61-59) in the first of a three-game series at Angel Stadium. The game starts at 10:05 p.m. ET on Friday, Aug. 19 and will air on FS1.
In his most recent outing, Weaver pitched 5.1 innings, allowing five runs and walking two in a 5-4 loss to the Indians. The Yankees were victorious the last time Tanaka pitched. He did not do well, pitching 7.0 innings, allowing four runs and striking out eight in an 8-4 victory over the Rays.
Los Angeles is a +125 underdog in this game, and the Over/Under (O/U) is eight runs. The Angels perform poorly as an underdog with a 25-47 record and have an overall money line of -2,064. They have struggled as the underdog over their last 10 games, going 0-8. Los Angeles has been struggling as of late. In the last 10 games, Los Angeles has only averaged 2.7 runs per game compared to the 4.5 it's averaged on the season. Los Angeles's pitching staff has fallen apart in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game rose to 6.1 during that span, compared to its 4.8 season average.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Yankees come into this game in an interesting position. They have a negative money line (-269) but have won more than 60 percent of games played as the favorite (40-26). Opposing pitchers have routinely struggled to strike out the New York batters, who rank fourth in the AL with 7.2 strikeouts per game. Switching gears to New York's pitching staff, they allow just 2.6 walks per game, best in the AL.
The previous four games have all gone New York's way. The Angels will take on a right-hander (Tanaka) in this game and have a 34-53 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Yankees will be the right-hander Weaver. They sport a 44-39 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Over
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games on the road.
NY Yankees are 3-6 SU in their last 9 games on the road.
NY Yankees are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Angels.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Angels.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees.
The Angels are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Yankees have a 23-37 record when opponents give up two walks or less.
When they are outhit, the Angels are 7-54. The Yankees have a 12-48 record when opponents outhit them.
Los Angeles and New York both rank near the bottom of the league in home runs. Los Angeles sits at 25th with 117 home runs this season and New York ranks 21st with 129.
Ranking 14th, New York is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.39 per game. Los Angeles ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 8.88.
Ranking 24th, New York is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.712). Los Angeles ranks in the bottom half at 18th with an OPS of .736.
The Yankees are 36-48 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Angels are 28-56 when they allow at least one homer.