Jarred Cosart (0-1, 5.03 ERA) and Zack Greinke (11-4, 4.31 ERA) start in the second of a four-game series between the San Diego Padres (51-70) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (50-71) at Petco Park. The Padres won the last game 9-8, and San Diego leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 10:40 p.m. ET on Friday, Aug. 19 and can be seen on FSAZ and FSSD.
Cosart pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering one run, striking out two and walking two in a 3-2 defeat to the Mets. Wil Myers (.273, 80 Rs, 23 HRs, 71 RBIs, 21 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with two runs and one RBI. Greinke went 1.2 innings, surrendering nine runs and striking out three in a 16-2 defeat to the Red Sox in his most recent start. Jake Lamb (.269, 61 Rs, 24 HRs, 75 RBIs, 5 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run.
Arizona takes on San Diego as a -130 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at seven runs. The Padres have recorded an overall money line of -260 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 38-63. San Diego has recorded a disappointing 2-7 record as the underdog over its last 10 games. The Padres have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 2.7 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.3 runs per game. San Diego is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 102 bases.
In games where it is the favorite, Arizona has a 24-24 record and an overall money line of -1,813. They have managed to pull off a perfect record over their last ten games playing as the favorite, and have a 6-4 SU record over the same span. Offensively, the Diamondbacks have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 4.5 runs per game by averaging 6.3 during that stretch. The Diamondbacks are tough outs for opponents, ranking third in the NL with 9.2 hits per road game. The Diamondbacks are an excellent base stealing team with 95 stolen bases, ranking fifth in the MLB. The Diamondbacks have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 8.0 strikeouts per road game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Padres have a 35-54 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Greinke takes the mound. Cosart (RHP) will be on the hill against the Diamondbacks, who have a 34-54 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - ARI, O/U - Over
Arizona is 2-4-1 SU in its last 7 games,.
Arizona is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games, on the road.
San Diego is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games, when playing Arizona.
The Padres hold a 20-27 record this season against teams in the NL West Division. The Diamondbacks' record in these matchups is 20-29.
Arizona has won 39% (24-37) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, San Diego has won 44% (22-28) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Diamondbacks managed to give up six walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Padres who are heading in with a 9-1 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Diamondbacks are 37-14. The Padres have a 38-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 20th, San Diego is in the bottom half of the league in runs, scoring 527 this season. Arizona ranks in the top half at 12th with 554.
San Diego and Arizona both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. San Diego sits at 23rd with 343 this season and Arizona ranks 25th with 339.
When the Padres hit at least one home run, they are 42-36, well-matched with the Diamondbacks who are 42-40 when hitting one or more homers.