Collin McHugh (7-10, 4.70 ERA) and the Houston Astros (61-60) are in Baltimore to meet Wade Miley (7-10, 5.23 ERA) and the Orioles (67-53) in a game that could be high scoring. This is the second of a four-game series at Camden Yards. The Astros lost the last game 13-5, extending a five-game losing streak. The game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET on Friday, Aug. 19 and will air on RTSW and MAS2.
In his most recent outing, Miley pitched 4.1 innings, allowing seven runs (one unearned), striking out one and walking two in an 8-7 victory over the Giants. Manny Machado (.304, 83 Rs, 27 HRs, 72 RBIs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 2 for 5 with two runs, one home run, and three RBIs. The Astros were unsuccessful the last time McHugh pitched. He tossed 5.1 innings, allowing three runs, striking out six and walking two in a 4-2 loss to the Blue Jays. Jose Altuve (.363, 87 Rs, 19 HRs, 75 RBIs, 26 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Baltimore is favored by a slight -115 margin in its matchup against Houston. Oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at nine runs. The Orioles perform well as a favorite with a 44-21 record and have an overall money line of +1,166. The Orioles come into the game with the AL's fifth-ranked home scoring offense, averaging 4.9 runs per game in their own ballpark. The Orioles lead the majors in home runs with 183.
On the other side, the Astros have a record of 17-16 when they are the underdog and are -1,248 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, the team is 4-6 SU and has played poorly as the underdog with a 1-3 record. The Astros average 3.6 walks per game, making them one of the most disciplined teams in the AL. Houston's pitching staff has allowed an average of 5.4 runs per game during the last 10 games, higher than their season average of 4.1. The Houston pitching staff has been an intimidating group this year, averaging 8.8 strikeouts per game.
The Astros are 3-1 against the Orioles this season. The Orioles will take on a right-hander (McHugh) in this game and have a 49-36 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. The left-handed Miley will take the mound against the Astros, who have an 18-21 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - HOU, O/U - Over
Houston has won 55% (30-25) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Baltimore has won 62% (32-20) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Astros are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Orioles have a 15-15 record when opponents give up one walk or less.
When they outhit their opponents, the Orioles are 45-9. The Astros have a 47-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 17th in runs, Houston has earned 537 this season. Baltimore ranks ninth with 566 runs.
Ranking 20th, Baltimore is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 345 this season. Houston ranks in the top five with 427.
When the Orioles hit at least one home run, they are 55-33. When the Astros hit at least one homer, they have a 52-35 record.