Julio Teheran (3-9, 2.81 ERA) and the Atlanta Braves (44-77) take on Tanner Roark (13-6, 2.81 ERA) and the Washington Nationals (71-49) in a game that has the potential to be low scoring. This is the second of a four-game series at Turner Field. The Braves lost the last game 8-2, continuing a five-game losing streak. Action begins at 7:35 p.m. ET on Friday, Aug. 19 and can be seen on MASN and FSSO.
Teheran pitched 5.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs, striking out four and walking one in a 9-5 defeat to the Phillies. Matt Kemp (.259, 61 Rs, 24 HRs, 77 RBIs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run and one RBI. Roark went 7.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out three and walking two in a 9-1 win over the Braves in his most recent start. Bryce Harper (.242, 65 Rs, 21 HRs, 62 RBIs, 15 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with two runs.
Washington takes on Atlanta as a -140 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at seven runs. The Braves have recorded an overall money line of -824 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 41-65. Atlanta has had a discouraging season against division opponents, earning records of 20-23 and 20-27 as the underdog and SU respectively. Atlanta's pitchers put it all together when division rivals are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game drops to 4.0 against fellow NL East members, compared to its 4.8 season average.
As for their opponent, in contrast to a worrisome overall money line (-43), Washington has an impressive 60-34 record when playing as the favorite. They have been playing solid baseball as favorite with a 27-11 record against NL East opponents, and a 32-15 record SU. Offensively, they average 4.8 runs per game, which is good for fourth in the NL. Washington is excellent at drawing walks with 3.5 per game, ranking fourth in the NL. Moving on to Washington's pitching staff and defense, the Nationals allow just 3.6 runs per game, ranking them second in the NL. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Nationals are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.173 for the season.
The Nationals have controlled the season series, 9-1. The Braves have a 32-49 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Roark takes the mound. Teheran (RHP) will be on the hill against the Nationals, who have a 53-38 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - WAS, O/U - Under
The Nationals hold a 33-15 record in matchups against NL East Division rivals, while the Braves currently sit at 20-28 in these games.
Atlanta has won 35% (15-28) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Washington has won 60% (30-20) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Nationals are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Braves have a 12-38 record when opponents give up two walks or less.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 32-19. The Nationals have a 52-13 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th, Atlanta is at the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 429 this season. Washington ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 576.
Ranking 19th, Atlanta is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 349 this season. Washington ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 418.
When the Braves hit at least one home run, they are 25-29. When the Nationals hit at least one homer, they have a 56-27 record.