Adam Morgan (1-7, 6.62 ERA) and Adam Wainwright (9-7, 4.72 ERA) take the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Philadelphia Phillies (57-65) and the St. Louis Cardinals (64-56) at Citizens Bank Park. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Friday, Aug. 19 and can be seen on CSPh and FSMW.
Morgan pitched 3.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs and walking one in a 7-6 win over the Rockies. Maikel Franco (.249, 52 Rs, 22 HRs, 71 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run, one home run, and two RBIs. Wainwright went 2.0 innings, surrendering seven runs, striking out two and walking three in a 13-2 defeat to the Cubs in his most recent start. Brandon Moss (.267, 51 Rs, 22 HRs, 54 RBIs, 1 SB) has been successful at the plate for the Cardinals, going 2 for 5 Wednesday with one run, one home run, and three RBIs.
St. Louis takes on Philadelphia as a -165 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at nine runs. The Phillies have an overall money line of +612 and a record as the underdog of 38-52. The Phillies have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.6 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.8 runs per game. Philadelphia's pitching staff has been doing poorly against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, allowing an average of 7.1 runs per game, well above its season average of 4.7.
In games where it is the favorite, St. Louis has a 43-36 record and an overall money line of -29. Offensively, they average five runs per game on the road, which is the best in the NL. The Cardinals have a dynamic offense, ranking third in the league with 423 extra base hits. When it comes to issuing walks, the Cardinals have the fifth-fewest in the NL with an average of just 2.8 walks allowed per game.
The Cardinals lead the season series, 3-1. The Phillies have a 42-51 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Wainwright takes the mound. Morgan (LHP) will be on the hill against the Cardinals, who have a 16-20 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - STL, O/U - Over
Philadelphia has won 49% (29-30) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, St. Louis has won 56% (30-24) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Cardinals are coming off of a hot pitching game where they recorded 10 strikeouts. The Phillies have a record of 16-21 when they are struck out that many times or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Phillies are 37-6. The Cardinals have a 44-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 28th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 466 this season. St. Louis ranks in the top five with 599.
Ranking 28th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 312 this season. St. Louis ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 409.
When the Phillies hit at least one home run, they are 48-35, well-matched with the Cardinals who are 52-35 when hitting one or more homers.