Madison Bumgarner (11-7, 2.11 ERA) and the San Francisco Giants (66-54) take on Jacob deGrom (7-5, 2.29 ERA) and the New York Mets (60-60) in a game that has the potential to be low scoring. This is the first of a four-game series at AT&T Park. Action begins at 10:15 p.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 18 and can be seen on CSBA and SNY.
Bumgarner pitched 7.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering zero runs, striking out eight and walking three in a 6-2 win over the Orioles. Angel Pagan (.297, 52 Rs, 8 HRs, 40 RBIs, 13 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 3 for 4 with two runs. deGrom went 7.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out nine and walking one in a 3-2 win over the Padres in his last outing. Yoenis Cespedes (.289, 49 Rs, 22 HRs, 59 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday.
San Francisco is a -145 favorite against New York and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at six runs. Though the Giants have had a tough season in terms of their overall money line (-220), they have done fairly well as a favorite with a record of 48-30. San Francisco is a disappointing 2-5 as the favorite over its last 10 games. San Francisco strikes out the least of any team in the NL at home, with only 6.6 per game. Opposing batters know they're in for a battle when they play San Francisco. The Giants are one of the top teams when it comes to pitching, allowing just 4.1 runs per game. The Giants are the fifth-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.227 so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, New York has a 15-22 record and an overall money line of -1,558. They have been on a bit of a dry streak over their last 10 games. They managed a 0-2 record when playing as the underdog. The Mets allow 3.8 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 5.7 runs per game during that span.
The Mets lead the season series, 2-1. The Giants have a 42-39 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when deGrom takes the mound. Bumgarner (LHP) will be on the hill against the Mets, who have a 14-17 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - SF, O/U - Over
When leading after seven innings, San Francisco is 24-19, while New York is 21-23.
The Mets managed to give up seven walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Giants who are heading in with a 10-3 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Mets are 39-11. The Giants have a 47-13 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 29th in runs, New York has earned 450 this season. San Francisco ranks 17th with 533 runs.
Ranking 15th, New York is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 365 this season. San Francisco ranks in the top five at fourth with 444.
The Giants are 42-25 when they hit at least one home run. The Mets perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 51-32 record.