In a game that could be a shootout, Archie Bradley (4-8, 4.91 ERA) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (50-70) are in San Diego to take on Paul Clemens (2-2, 4.73 ERA) and the Padres (50-70). This is the first of a four-game series at Petco Park. The Padres come into this series hoping to snap a five-game losing streak. Action begins at 10:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 18 and can be seen on FSAZ and FSSD.
Clemens pitched 5.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs, striking out three and walking three in an 8-6 win over the Mets. Bradley went 5.1 innings, surrendering six runs (two unearned), striking out four and walking two in a 6-3 defeat to the Red Sox in his most recent start. Paul Goldschmidt (.302, 77 Rs, 18 HRs, 74 RBIs, 17 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 2 yesterday with four runs.
Arizona is a narrow -110 favorite over San Diego. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of eight runs. The Padres have recorded an overall money line of -260 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 38-63. San Diego has recorded a disappointing 2-7 record as the underdog over its last 10 games. The Padres have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 2.7 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.3 runs per game. San Diego is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 101 bases.
In games where it is the favorite, Arizona has a 24-24 record and an overall money line of -1,813. They have managed to pull off a perfect record over their last ten games playing as the favorite, and have a 6-4 SU record over the same span. Offensively, the Diamondbacks have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 4.5 runs per game by averaging 6.3 during that stretch. The Diamondbacks are tough outs for opponents, ranking third in the NL with 9.2 hits per road game. The Diamondbacks are an excellent base stealing team with 93 stolen bases, ranking fifth in the MLB. The Diamondbacks have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 8.0 strikeouts per road game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Diamondbacks lead the season series, 5-4. The Padres have a 35-54 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Bradley takes the mound. Clemens (RHP) will be on the hill against the Diamondbacks, who have a 34-54 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - ARI, O/U - Over
The Padres hold a 19-27 record this season against teams in the NL West Division. The Diamondbacks' record in these matchups is 20-28.
The Padres didn't score any runs in their last game. The Diamondbacks have a 6-0 record when they don't allow any runs.
When they are outhit, the Diamondbacks are 8-51. The Padres have a 9-51 record when opponents outhit them.
San Diego and Arizona both rank in the bottom half of the league in home runs. San Diego sits at 16th with 140 home runs this season and Arizona ranks 18th with 139.
Ranking 14th, San Diego is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.04 per game. Arizona ranks in the top five at third with 9.18.
Ranking 28th, San Diego is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.699). Arizona ranks in the top half at 11th with an OPS of .757.
When the Diamondbacks allow at least one home run, they are 25-59, well-matched with the Padres who are 26-51 when allowing at least one homer.