In the first of a four-game series between the Detroit Tigers (63-57) and the Boston Red Sox (67-52) at Comerica Park, Matt Boyd (4-2, 4.16 ERA) and Clay Buchholz (4-9, 5.66 ERA) get the start. The Red Sox go into this series on a six-game winning streak. The game gets underway at 1:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 18 and will air on NESN and FSDT.
In his most recent outing, Boyd pitched 7.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out three and walking two in a 2-0 victory over the Rangers. J.D. Martinez (.310, 45 Rs, 16 HRs, 45 RBIs, 1 SB) continued his strong season yesterday, going 3 for 4. The Red Sox were victorious over the Diamondbacks 6-3 the last time Buchholz pitched. He went 4.1 innings, giving up three runs, striking out one and walking three. Mookie Betts (.317, 96 Rs, 28 HRs, 89 RBIs, 19 SBs) has been doing well, going 2 for 3 yesterday with three runs and one stolen base.
Detroit is a slight +100 underdog in this game, and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at nine runs. When playing as the underdog, the Tigers have a 32-41 record and overall money line at +1,126. The Tigers will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In the last 10 games, Detroit has only averaged 2.4 runs per game compared to the 4.6 it's averaged on the season.
Moving on to the opposing team, the Red Sox come into this game with a win percentage of .575 when playing as the favorite (50-37) and an overall money line of -151. They have played at the top of their game when rated as the favorite recently. They managed a 7-2 record when playing as the favorite and a SU record of 7-3. They sport the top-ranked offense in the AL, averaging 5.5 runs per game. The top hitting team in the AL are the Red Sox, who average 10.0 hits per game. The Red Sox average just 7.1 strikeouts per game, one of the lowest marks in the AL.
The previous three games have all gone Detroit's way. This game will feature Buchholz (RHP) on the mound against the Tigers, who have a 46-39 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The left-handed Boyd will take the mound against the Red Sox, who have a 14-13 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - BOS, O/U - Over
Detroit has won 55% (31-25) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Boston has won 57% (32-24) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Red Sox are coming into this game after allowing no walks during their last outing. The Tigers have a 3-4 record when opponents don't give up any walks.
When they are outhit, the Red Sox are 7-32. The Tigers have a 10-41 record when opponents outhit them.
Detroit and Boston both rank in the top 10 of the league in home runs. Detroit sits at seventh with 157 home runs this season and Boston ranks ninth with 154.
Ranking first in hits, Boston has earned 9.98 per game this season. Detroit ranks second with 9.19 hits.
Boston tops the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage of .822 this season. Detroit ranks in the top 10 at ninth with an OPS of .762.
When the Red Sox allow at least one home run, they are 39-43, well-matched with the Tigers who are 32-40 when allowing at least one homer.