Jake Arrieta (14-5, 2.55 ERA) and the Chicago Cubs (76-43) go up against Zach Davies (9-5, 3.80 ERA) and the Milwaukee Brewers (52-67) in the last of a four-game division series at Wrigley Field. The Cubs won the last game 6-1, and Chicago can finish out the series sweep with a win in this game. The game gets underway at 2:20 p.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 18 and will air on CSCh.
In his last start, Arrieta pitched 5.2 innings, allowing one run, striking out six and walking two in a 13-2 victory over the Cardinals. The Brewers were unsuccessful against the Reds 11-5 the last time Davies pitched. He went 5.0 innings, allowing five runs, striking out four and walking one. Chris Carter (.220, 56 Rs, 27 HRs, 66 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
Chicago is a considerable -300 favorite at home and the Over/Under (O/U) for this matchup is presently unavailable. The Cubs perform well as a favorite with a 71-35 record and have an overall money line of +106. They have impressive records of 31-14 as the favorite and 33-16 SU within their division. The Cubs come into the game with the NL's second-ranked home scoring offense, averaging 4.8 runs per game in their own ballpark. They have been very patient at the plate, leading the NL with an average of 4.1 walks per game. As for the Chicago defense and pitching staff, teams routinely struggle to score runs against the Cubs, who allow an NL-low 3.3 runs per game. The Cubs don't allow many hitters to get on base, leading the league with a 1.108 WHIP. They have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out, averaging 8.8 strikeouts per game.
Across the field, the Brewers have a subpar record of 33-50 when they are the underdog and are -866 overall with the money line. Over the last 10 games, the team is winless as the underdog with a 0-3 record and 3-7 SU. The Brewers have racked up 133 steals on the year, making them the most threatening base-running team in the league.
The Cubs had the upper hand against the Brewers in their previous 11 games this season, earning an 8-3 record. This game will feature Davies (RHP) on the mound against the Cubs, who have a 50-32 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Arrieta will take the mound against the Brewers. Against righty starters this season, they have a terrible 30-52 record overall and 10-29 on the road.
Predictions: SU Winner - CHC
The Cubs hold a 33-16 record against the NL Central Division this season, while the Brewers have a 17-28 record against the division.
The Cubs are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Brewers have an 11-28 record when opponents give up two walks or less.
It looks like the Cubs have a slight leg up on the Brewers, as the Cubs have won their last three games while the Brewers have lost their last three.
When they outhit their opponents, the Brewers are 43-9. The Cubs have a 64-12 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 24th, Milwaukee sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 483 this season. Chicago ranks in the top five at third with 603.
Ranking first in walks, Chicago has earned 492 this season. Milwaukee ranks second with 452 walks.
When the Cubs hit at least one home run, they are 55-22. When the Brewers hit at least one homer, they have a 41-32 record.