Ivan Nova (9-6, 4.68 ERA) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (61-56) are in San Francisco to go up against Matt Cain (4-7, 5.47 ERA) and the Giants (66-53) in a game that could have plenty of offense. This is the last of a three-game series at AT&T Park. The Pirates won the last game 4-3, and Pittsburgh leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 3:45 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 17 and will air on CSBA and RTPT.
In his last start, Cain pitched 4.0 innings, giving up five runs, striking out seven and walking one in a 5-2 loss to the Orioles. Hunter Pence (.273, 33 Rs, 8 HRs, 40 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one RBI. The Pirates were victorious the last time Nova pitched. He had a good outing, pitching 5.1 innings, allowing one run and striking out two in a 5-1 victory over the Dodgers. Starling Marte (.316, 65 Rs, 7 HRs, 40 RBIs, 41 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one run and one stolen base.
San Francisco, a -125 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Pittsburgh. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at eight runs. The Giants have a winning record of 48-28 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +34. The Giants are a stellar hitting team with 8.9 hits per game, one of the highest marks in the NL. Don't expect the San Francisco hitters to swing wildly. They average an NL-low 6.9 strikeouts per game. As for the pitching staff, the Giants don't allow many hitters to get on base, ranking fifth in the league with a 1.227 WHIP.
On the other side, the Pirates have a record of 27-26 when they are the underdog and are +227 overall with the money line. They have played at the top of their game when rated as the underdog as of late. They managed a 3-1 record when playing as the underdog and a SU record of 7-3.
This game will feature Nova (RHP) on the mound against the Giants, who have a 42-37 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Pirates will be the right-hander Cain. They sport a 42-48 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - SF, O/U - Over
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road.
Pittsburgh is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing San Francisco.
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco.
In their last game, the Pirates won by a margin of one run. The Giants are 24-17 in one-run games. The Pirates have a 16-12 record in close games.
When leading after seven innings, San Francisco is 24-19, while Pittsburgh is 25-30.
The Pirates are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Giants have a 14-24 record when opponents give up two walks or less.
When they are outhit, the Giants are 12-36. The Pirates have a 15-44 record when opponents outhit them.
San Francisco and Pittsburgh both rank near the bottom of the league in home runs. San Francisco sits at 29th with 98 home runs this season and Pittsburgh ranks 26th with 111.
San Francisco and Pittsburgh both rank in the top five of the league in hits. San Francisco sits at fourth with 8.88 hits per game and Pittsburgh ranks fifth with 8.84.
San Francisco and Pittsburgh both rank in the bottom half of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. San Francisco sits at 20th with an OPS of .732, and Pittsburgh ranks 17th with an OPS of .737.
When the Pirates allow at least one home run, they are 32-43, well-matched with the Giants who are 29-42 when allowing at least one homer.