Chris Archer (6-16, 4.39 ERA) and the Tampa Bay Rays (49-69) go up against Christian Friedrich (4-8, 4.84 ERA) and the San Diego Padres (50-69) in the last of a three-game interleague series at Tropicana Field. The Rays won the last game 15-1, and Tampa Bay leads the series 2-0. The game gets underway at 1:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 17 and will air on FSSD.
In his last start, Archer pitched 6.0 innings, giving up five runs and striking out nine in a 6-3 loss to the Yankees. Evan Longoria (.292, 63 Rs, 27 HRs, 72 RBIs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 3 for 5 with three runs, one home run, and two RBIs. The Padres were unsuccessful against the Pirates 4-0 the last time Friedrich pitched. He went 6.0 innings, allowing four runs, striking out two and walking one. Yangervis Solarte (.290, 40 Rs, 13 HRs, 51 RBIs, 1 SB) has been hitting the ball well, going 2 for 4 yesterday.
Tampa Bay is a heavy -210 favorite at home and the Over/Under (O/U) for this matchup is set at eight runs. The Rays are 29-36 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -2,650. They are 3-1 as the favorite over their last 10 games. Tampa Bay has averaged 6.6 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 4.2. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Rays don't give up many hits at home to opposing batters at Tropicana Field, leading the AL with only 8.1 hits allowed per home game. They have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out, averaging 8.3 strikeouts per game.
Across the field, the Padres have a subpar record of 38-62 when they are the underdog and are -160 overall with the money line. They have played poorly as the underdog as of late. They managed a 2-6 record when playing as the underdog and a SU record of 3-7. When it comes to scoring runs, the Padres have performed much better than normal against teams from the AL. During those games, they averaged five runs per game, above their 4.3 season average. San Diego is a terror on the base paths, ranking third in the MLB with 101 stolen bases. Playing competition from the AL really brings the worst out of the San Diego pitchers. They allow 8.4 runs per game against teams in the AL, which is higher than their season average of 4.9.
The previous two games have all gone Tampa Bay's way. This game will feature Friedrich (LHP) on the mound against the Rays, who have a 12-16 record when they take on a left-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Padres will be the right-hander Archer. They sport a 35-53 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - TB, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Rays won by a margin of 14 runs. The Padres are 1-4 in games decided by a margin of 10 runs or more. The Rays have a 4-0 record in blowouts.
The Rays are coming into this matchup after a high-scoring game where they scored a whopping 15 runs. The Padres have a 0-4 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
It looks like the Rays have a slight leg up on the Padres, as the Rays have won their last three games while the Padres have lost their last four.
When they outhit their opponents, the Rays are 32-10. The Padres have a 38-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 22nd in runs, Tampa Bay has earned 496 this season. San Diego ranks 20th with 518 runs.
Ranking 24th, San Diego is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 336 this season. Tampa Bay ranks in the bottom half at 16th with 355.
When the Rays hit at least one home run, they are 42-42. When the Padres hit at least one homer, they have a 42-36 record.