In the last of a three-game series between the Detroit Tigers (63-56) and the Kansas City Royals (59-60) at Comerica Park, Anibal Sanchez (6-12, 6.31 ERA) and Yordano Ventura (8-9, 4.60 ERA) get the start. The Royals won the last game 6-1, and Kansas City leads the series 2-0. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 17 and will air on FSKC and FSDT.
In his last start, Sanchez pitched 4.0 innings, giving up eight runs, striking out four and walking two in an 8-5 loss to the Rangers. J.D. Martinez (.305, 45 Rs, 16 HRs, 45 RBIs, 1 SB) went 1 for 4 yesterday. The Royals were victorious the last time Ventura pitched. He went 7.0 innings, allowing three runs, striking out nine and walking one in a 7-3 victory over the Twins. Kendrys Morales (.243, 42 Rs, 20 HRs, 56 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
Detroit, a -130 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Kansas City. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at nine runs. The Tigers have a winning record of 31-14 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of +1,351. They have performed well against their division to earn a SU record of 20-25, but only have a 13-7 record when they were the favorite. Detroit has averaged 3.2 runs per game over the last 10 games, lower than its season average of 4.7. Detroit's pitchers struggle within their division. The Tigers have given up an average of 5.1 runs to intra-division opponents, well over their defense's season average of 4.5. The Tigers are fifth in the AL in walks allowed at home with just 2.6 per game.
On the other side, the Royals have a subpar record of 30-48 when they are the underdog, but are +132 overall with the money line. Against divisional foes, they are 28-17 SU and 13-15 as the underdog. When it comes to scoring runs, the Royals have performed much better than normal against teams from the AL Central. During those games, they averaged four runs per game, above their 3.9 season average. Kansas City is one of the top hitting teams in the AL with an average of 9.0 hits per contest. The Royals average just 7.4 strikeouts per game, one of the lowest marks in the AL. The last 10 games have really brought the best out of the Kansas City pitchers. They've allowed 3.0 runs per game during that span, which is lower than their season average of 4.3.
The Royals have gotten the better of the Tigers in head-to-head matchups this season, going 8-4. This game will feature Ventura (RHP) on the mound against the Tigers, who have a 46-38 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Royals will be the right-hander Sanchez. They sport a 44-45 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - DET, O/U - Under
The Royals hold a 29-17 record in matchups against AL Central Division rivals, while the Tigers currently sit at 20-26 in these games.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Tigers are going to have to step it up if they want to win this matchup. The Royals have a 19-1 record in games where opponents scored one run or less.
It looks like the Royals have a slight leg up on the Tigers, as the Royals have won their last three games while the Tigers have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Royals are 47-16. The Tigers have a 48-11 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 27th, Kansas City sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 466 this season. Detroit ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 552.
Ranking 30th, Kansas City is at the bottom of the league in walks, notching 270 this season. Detroit ranks in the bottom half at 17th with 349.
When the Tigers hit at least one home run, they are 51-32. When the Royals hit at least one homer, they have a 40-33 record.