Homer Bailey (2-1, 4.30 ERA) and Andrew Cashner (4-9, 5.08 ERA) are on the hill in the third of a four-game series between the Cincinnati Reds (49-69) and the Miami Marlins (62-57) at the Great American Ball Park. The Reds won the last game 6-3, and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 17 and can be seen on FSOH and FSFL.
Bailey pitched 6.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering zero runs, striking out 11 and walking one in a 7-4 win over the Brewers. Jay Bruce (.255, 65 Rs, 27 HRs, 85 RBIs, 4 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4. Cashner went 5.0 innings, surrendering four runs, striking out five and walking five in a 4-2 defeat to the White Sox in his last outing. Giancarlo Stanton (.244, 52 Rs, 25 HRs, 70 RBIs) has been successful at the plate for the Marlins, going 3 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and three RBIs.
Cincinnati is a -120 favorite against Miami and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. Though the Reds have had a tough season in terms of their overall money line (-862), they have done fairly well as a favorite with a record of 16-6. Cincinnati is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 106 bases.
In games where it is the underdog, Miami has a 32-28 record and an overall money line of +258. Offensively, they average four runs per game on the road, which is fifth in the NL. The Marlins are tough outs for opponents, leading the NL with 9.4 hits per game. Miami is excellent at making contact with just 7.6 strikeouts per game, ranking fourth in the NL. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Marlins are fourth in the NL with an average of 8.4 hits allowed per game. The Marlins have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an NL-best 8.3 strikeouts per road game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Marlins lead the season series, 4-1. The Reds have a 40-52 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Cashner takes the mound. Bailey (RHP) will be on the hill against the Marlins, who have a 41-48 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIA, O/U - Over
When leading after seven innings, Miami is 27-27, while Cincinnati is 26-33.
The Marlins managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Reds who are heading in with a 19-20 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Reds are 36-10. The Marlins have a 51-14 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 21st, Miami sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 510 this season. Cincinnati ranks in the bottom half at 19th with 520.
Cincinnati and Miami both rank near the bottom of the league in walks. Cincinnati sits at 25th with 328 this season and Miami ranks 21st with 340.
When the Reds hit at least one home run, they are 37-39. When the Marlins hit at least one homer, they have a 44-28 record.