Josh Tomlin (11-5, 4.18 ERA) and Drew Pomeranz (8-9, 3.03 ERA) take the hill in the first of a one-game series between the Cleveland Indians (67-48) and the Boston Red Sox (64-52) at Progressive Field. Action begins at 1:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Aug. 15 and can be seen on STOh and NESN.
Tomlin pitched 4.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering seven runs, striking out four and walking one in a 7-4 defeat to the Nationals. Mike Napoli (.265, 76 Rs, 29 HRs, 84 RBIs, 4 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one RBI. Pomeranz went 5.1 innings, surrendering one run, striking out five and walking one in a 9-4 defeat to the Yankees in his most recent start. Mookie Betts (.313, 91 Rs, 26 HRs, 84 RBIs, 18 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 4 for 6 yesterday with four runs, three home runs, and eight RBIs.
Cleveland is a narrow -115 favorite at home against Boston. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of nine runs. The Indians have recorded an overall money line of +683 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 51-34. Cleveland is an impressive 5-2 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Indians have no trouble scoring as they rank second in the AL in offense with 5.1 runs per game. Cleveland is one of the best in the MLB in terms of steals, swiping 95 bases.
In games where it is the underdog, Boston has a 17-15 record and an overall money line of -551. Offensively, they average four runs per game on the road, which is second in the AL. The Red Sox have a dynamic offense, leading the league with 431 extra base hits.
The Red Sox lead the season series, 3-2. The Indians have a great 12-4 record at home (22-11 overall) against left-handed starting pitchers, which is what they'll be facing when Pomeranz takes the mound. Tomlin (RHP) will be on the hill against the Red Sox, who have a 49-39 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - CLE, O/U - Over
The Red Sox won their last game by a 14-run margin. In games decided by a margin of 10 runs or more, the Indians are 5-2. The Red Sox are 5-1 in blowouts this season.
Cleveland has won 52% (26-24) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Boston has won 56% (31-24) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Red Sox are coming into this game after allowing no walks during their last outing. The Indians have a 3-3 record when opponents don't give up any walks.
When they outhit their opponents, the Red Sox are 56-15. The Indians have a 53-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Boston tops the league in runs with 640 this season. Cleveland ranks in the top five at fourth with 588.
Ranking 13th, Cleveland is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 363 this season. Boston ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 393.
The Indians are 49-30 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Red Sox are 52-35 when they hit at least one homer.