Adam Morgan (1-7, 6.65 ERA) and the Philadelphia Phillies (55-63) meet Tyler Chatwood (10-7, 3.58 ERA) and the Colorado Rockies (56-61) in the last of a three-game series at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies won the last game 6-3, and Philadelphia leads the series 2-0. The game gets underway at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 14 and will air on CSPh and RTRM.
In his most recent outing, Morgan pitched 5.0 innings, giving up six runs and striking out four in an 11-2 loss to the Rockies. Ryan Howard (.195, 26 Rs, 17 HRs, 40 RBIs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 3 for 5 with two runs, one home run, and five RBIs. The Rockies were unsuccessful against the Rangers 7-5 the last time Chatwood pitched. He went 6.2 innings, allowing two runs and striking out eight. Trevor Story (.272, 67 Rs, 27 HRs, 72 RBIs, 8 SBs) went 1 for 2 yesterday with one RBI.
Philadelphia is a +128 underdog in this game, and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. When playing as the underdog, the Phillies have a 38-50 record and overall money line at +712. Philadelphia has averaged 5.4 runs per game over the last 10 games, higher than its season average of 3.8. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Phillies are second in the NL in walks allowed at home with just 2.6 per game. They have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out at Citizens Bank Park, averaging 9.2 strikeouts per home game.
On the other side, the Rockies have a record of 25-21 when they are favored and are -87 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, the team is 2-8 SU and has played poorly as the favorite with a 1-4 record. The Rockies are the number one overall scoring offense in the NL, averaging 5.2 runs per game so far. The Rockies are known for their bats, hitting 408 extra base hits. The Rockies are one of the top NL pitching staffs on the road, essentially shutting down opponents to the tune of three runs allowed per away game. They also average just 8.0 hits allowed per road game, fifth-best in the NL.
The Phillies have gotten the best of the Rockies in head-to-head matchups this season, going 4-2. This game will feature Chatwood (RHP) on the mound against the Phillies, who have a 41-50 record when they take on a right-handed starter. The left-handed Morgan will take the mound against the Rockies, who have a 14-19 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - COL, O/U - Over
Colorado has won 44% (24-31) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Philadelphia has won 49% (27-28) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Rockies managed to give up five walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Phillies who are heading in with a 14-4 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Phillies are 13-51. The Rockies have an 11-43 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 23rd in home runs, Philadelphia has hit 117 this season. Colorado ranks 11th with 148 home runs.
Ranking 14th, Philadelphia is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.06 per game. Colorado ranks in the top five at second with 9.35.
Ranking 29th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.685). Colorado ranks in the top five at second with an OPS of .794.
The Rockies are 28-47 when they allow at least one home run. The Phillies perform similarly when they allow one or more homers with a 23-49 record.