Steven Matz (8-8, 3.60 ERA) and the New York Mets (58-58) go up against Clayton Richard (0-1, 6.46 ERA) and the San Diego Padres (50-66) in the last of a three-game series at Citi Field. The Mets won the last game 3-2, and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 1:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 14 and will air on WPIX and FSSD.
In his most recent outing, Matz pitched 6.0 innings, giving up two runs, striking out nine and walking one in a 5-3 loss to the Diamondbacks. Yoenis Cespedes (.289, 49 Rs, 22 HRs, 59 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday. The Padres were also unsuccessful the last time Richard pitched. He went 1.0 inning, allowing zero runs, striking out two and walking two in a 6-4 loss to the Pirates. Wil Myers (.276, 77 Rs, 23 HRs, 70 RBIs, 21 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
New York is a heavy -210 favorite at home and the Over/Under (O/U) for this matchup is set at eight runs. When playing as the favorite, the Mets have a 43-38 record and overall money line at -1,558. New York's pitching staff has fallen apart in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game rose to 4.8 during that span, compared to its 3.7 season average. The Mets are fifth in the NL in hits allowed at home with just 8.2 per game. They have been extremely effective at striking opposing batters out, averaging 8.6 strikeouts per game.
On the other side, the Padres have a subpar record of 38-59 when they are the underdog, but are +140 overall with the money line. San Diego is a terror on the base paths, ranking third in the MLB with 99 stolen bases.
The Mets will take on a left-hander (Richard) in this game and have a 13-16 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Padres will be the left-hander Matz. They sport a 15-13 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
The Padres lost their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Mets are 20-18. The Padres are 13-24 in close games this season.
When leading after seven innings, New York is 20-21, while San Diego is 21-27.
The Padres are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded six strikeouts. The Mets have a record of 15-16 when opponents' pitchers have six strikeouts or less.
When they outhit their opponents, the Mets are 37-11. The Padres have a 38-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 29th in runs, New York has earned 427 this season. San Diego ranks 16th with 514 runs.
Ranking 24th, San Diego is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 326 this season. New York ranks in the top half with 348.
When the Mets hit at least one home run, they are 49-30. When the Padres hit at least one homer, they have a 42-35 record.