Johnny Cueto (13-3, 2.92 ERA) and Wade Miley (7-10, 4.98 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the San Francisco Giants (66-50) and the Baltimore Orioles (65-51) at AT&T Park. The Giants won the last game 6-2, and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 4:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 14 and can be seen on MAS2 and CSBA.
Cueto pitched 5.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering five runs, striking out five and walking one in an 8-7 win over the Marlins. Brandon Belt (.278, 56 Rs, 14 HRs, 60 RBIs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs. Miley went 6.0 innings, surrendering two runs, striking out two and walking three in a 2-1 defeat to the Athletics in his last outing. Manny Machado (.304, 80 Rs, 26 HRs, 69 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
San Francisco is a -168 favorite against Baltimore and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at seven runs. The Giants have recorded an overall money line of +309 and have shown high-level performance as a favorite this season with a record of 48-26. Against the AL, they have a solid 4-3 record as the favorite but an 8-11 SU. The Giants have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 3.2 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.4 runs per game. San Francisco is one of the best in the NL in terms of walks, earning an average of 3.6 per game. San Francisco's pitchers fall apart when American League teams are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game rises to 4.6 against AL teams, compared to its 4.0 season average. The Giants are the fourth-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.214 so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, Baltimore has a 21-30 record and an overall money line of +1,229. Baltimore is 2-2 as the underdog and 7-5 SU against interleague opponents. Offensively, the Orioles have really picked up the pace in interleague games. They have exceeded their season average of 4.7 runs per game by averaging 5.5 in those contests. The Orioles can change the game with one swing of the bat, leading the league with 174 home runs.
The Giants have a great 14-6 record at home (24-14 overall) against left-handed starting pitchers, which is what they'll be facing when Miley takes the mound. Cueto (RHP) will be on the hill against the Orioles, who have a 48-36 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - SF, O/U - Over
San Francisco has won 59% (24-17) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Baltimore has won 61% (30-19) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Orioles managed to give up nine walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Giants who are heading in with a 4-0 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Giants are 47-12. The Orioles have a 43-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 17th in runs, San Francisco has earned 513 this season. Baltimore ranks 10th with 541 runs.
Ranking 20th, Baltimore is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 337 this season. San Francisco ranks in the top five at fourth with 428.
When the Giants hit at least one home run, they are 42-23, well-matched with the Orioles who are 53-32 when hitting one or more homers.