In the last of a three-game series between the Washington Nationals (68-47) and the Atlanta Braves (44-73) at Nationals Park, Tanner Roark (12-6, 2.88 ERA) and Tyrell Jenkins (2-2, 3.92 ERA) get the start. The Nationals won the last game 7-6, and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 1:35 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 14 and will air on MASN and FSSO.
In his most recent outing, Roark pitched 7.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out five and walking three in a 1-0 victory over the Giants. Daniel Murphy (.348, 70 Rs, 22 HRs, 86 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run, one home run, and four RBIs. The Braves were also victorious the last time Jenkins pitched. He pitched well, going 6.0 innings, allowing one run, striking out three and walking three in a 2-1 victory over the Brewers. Matt Kemp (.259, 60 Rs, 24 HRs, 75 RBIs) has been hitting the ball well, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one RBI.
Washington is a heavy -250 favorite at home and the Over/Under (O/U) for this matchup is set at eight runs. The Nationals perform well as a favorite with a 58-32 record and have an overall money line of +45. They have performed well against their division to earn a SU record of 31-15 and a 26-11 record when they were the favorite. The Nationals come into the game with the fourth-ranked scoring offense in the NL, averaging 4.7 runs per game. The Nationals are a power hitting team with 152 home runs, one of the highest totals in the MLB. The Nationals typically don't swing at bad pitches, which has led to an impressive 3.5 walks per game. Transitioning to the Washington defense and pitching staff, teams routinely struggle to score runs against the Nationals, who allow only 3.5 runs per game. The Nationals don't allow many hitters to get on base, ranking third in the league with a 1.165 WHIP.
Across the field, the Braves have a subpar record of 41-63 when they are the underdog and are -512 overall with the money line. Against divisional rivals, they are 20-26 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 20-22 record. Atlanta has been playing better lately, averaging 5.0 runs per game, more than their season average of 3.6. Atlanta's pitching staff tends to perform well when they play division rivals. They've allowed an average of 3.9 runs per game against teams from the NL East, lower than their season average of 4.7.
The Nationals had the upper hand against the Braves in their previous eight games this season, earning a 7-1 record. The Nationals will take on a right-hander (Jenkins) in this game and have a 52-36 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Braves will be the right-hander Roark. They sport a 32-46 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - WAS, O/U - Over
The Nationals hold a 31-15 record in matchups against NL East rivals, while the Braves currently sit at 20-26 in these games.
When leading after seven innings, Washington is 28-18, while Atlanta is 15-26.
The Braves are coming into this game after allowing one walk during their last outing. The Nationals have a 9-10 record when opponents give up one walk or less.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 32-18. The Nationals have a 51-12 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th, Atlanta sits at the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 421 this season. Washington ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 542.
Ranking 19th, Atlanta is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 338 this season. Washington ranks in the top 10 at seventh with 396.
The Nationals are 54-26 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Braves are 25-28 when they hit at least one homer.