Cody Reed (0-6, 6.36 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (48-67) are in Milwaukee to go up against Wily Peralta (4-8, 6.38 ERA) and the Brewers (51-64) in a matchup that has the potential for plenty of offense. This is the last of a three-game series at Miller Park. The Reds won the last game 11-5, and Cincinnati leads the series 2-0. The game starts at 2:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 14 and will air on FSWI and FSOH.
In his last start, Peralta pitched 6.0 innings, giving up two runs, striking out six and walking three in a 2-1 loss to the Braves. Ryan Braun (.323, 58 Rs, 20 HRs, 59 RBIs, 13 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 5 with two runs, one home run, and one RBI. The Reds were also unsuccessful the last time Reed pitched. He had a good outing, pitching 6.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out four and walking one in a 5-4 loss to the Cardinals. Adam Duvall (.247, 64 Rs, 27 HRs, 76 RBIs, 4 SBs) has been doing well, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Milwaukee is favored by a slight -112 margin in its matchup against Cincinnati. The teams combine to set the Over/Under (O/U) at nine runs. The Brewers are 18-17 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -666. Over the last 10 games, they have performed poorly when playing as the favorite (2-5). They have been a terror on the base paths, leading all of baseball with 124 steals. Milwaukee's pitching staff has fallen apart in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game rose to 6.0 during that span, compared to its 4.7 season average.
Across the field, the Reds have a subpar record of 32-61 when they are the underdog and are -659 overall with the money line. Against divisional foes, they are 20-28 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 17-26 record. Cincinnati is a terror on the base paths, ranking second in the MLB with 106 stolen bases. Cincinnati's pitching staff has allowed an average of 3.7 runs per game during the last 10 games, lower than their season average of 5.4.
The Reds have mostly come out on top against the Brewers in their previous 12 games this season, earning a 7-5 record. This game will feature Reed (LHP) on the mound against the Brewers, who have a 21-14 record when they take on a left-handed starter. The right-handed Peralta will take the mound against the Reds, who have a 40-50 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIL, O/U - Over
The Brewers are struggling at 16-25 in their division, while the Reds are 20-28.
When leading after seven innings, Cincinnati is 25-32, while Milwaukee is 21-29.
The Reds are coming into this meeting after a high-scoring game where they scored an impressive 11 runs. The Brewers have a 0-4 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When they are outhit, the Brewers are 8-53. The Reds have an 8-52 record when opponents outhit them.
Cincinnati ranks near the bottom of the league at 21st when it comes to home runs, hitting 125 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the bottom half with 127.
Milwaukee and Cincinnati both rank in the top half of the league in hits. Milwaukee sits at 12th with 8.16 hits per game and Cincinnati ranks 11th with 8.23.
Ranking 23rd, Cincinnati is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.711). Milwaukee ranks in the bottom half at 17th with an OPS of .733.
When the Reds allow at least one home run, they are 34-55, well-matched with the Brewers who are 31-48 when allowing at least one homer.