Luis Severino (1-7, 6.42 ERA) and Jake Odorizzi (6-5, 3.69 ERA) start in the last of a three-game series between the New York Yankees (60-56) and the Tampa Bay Rays (46-69) at Yankee Stadium. The Yankees won the last game 8-4, and New York leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 1:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 14 and can be seen on YES and SUN.
Severino pitched 4.1 innings in his last outing, surrendering five runs and striking out three in a 5-3 defeat to the Red Sox. Didi Gregorius (.289, 50 Rs, 15 HRs, 52 RBIs, 5 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one run, one home run, and two RBIs. Odorizzi went 5.1 innings, surrendering four runs (two unearned), striking out four and walking three in a 7-5 defeat to the Blue Jays in his most recent start. Brad Miller (.260, 54 Rs, 22 HRs, 52 RBIs, 6 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Rays, going 2 for 4 yesterday with two runs, two home runs, and four RBIs.
Tampa Bay is a narrow -108 favorite over New York. According to the oddsmakers, the Over/Under (O/U) is currently eight runs. The Yankees have recorded an overall money line of -49 and have shown a weak performance as an underdog this season with a record of 20-32. New York has had a discouraging season against division opponents, earning records of 9-16 and 18-24 as the underdog and SU respectively. The Yankees have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.8 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.2 runs per game. New York's pitchers put it all together when division rivals are on the field. Its average runs allowed per game drops to 3.9 against fellow AL East members, compared to its 4.3 season average. The Yankees are the third-best team in the AL at limiting hits to their opponents, allowing only 8.4 hits per game so far this season. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Yankees, who lead the AL in strikeouts per game with 8.7.
In games where it is the favorite, Tampa Bay has a 27-36 record and an overall money line of -2,953. They are 9-9 as the favorite against teams in their division, and 19-26 SU.
The Yankees lead the season series, 6-5. The Yankees have a 43-37 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Odorizzi takes the mound. Severino (RHP) will be on the hill against the Rays, who have a 34-53 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Over
The Yankees hold an 18-24 record this season against teams in the AL East Division. The Rays' record in these matchups is 19-26.
The Yankees are coming into this game after allowing no walks during their last outing. The Rays have a 4-7 record when opponents don't give up any walks.
It looks like the Yankees have a slight leg up on the Rays, as the Yankees have won their last four games while the Rays have lost their last three.
When they outhit their opponents, the Rays are 29-10. The Yankees have a 45-8 record when outhitting opponents.
Both falling near the bottom of the league based on total runs this season, New York ranks 22nd with 484 runs and Tampa Bay is 26th with 461.
Ranking 23rd, New York is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 330 this season. Tampa Bay ranks in the bottom half at 17th with 344.
When the Yankees hit at least one home run, they are 44-29. When the Rays hit at least one homer, they have a 39-42 record.