Zach Davies (9-4, 3.58 ERA) and Dan Straily (7-6, 3.76 ERA) start in the second of a three-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (51-63) and the Cincinnati Reds (47-67) at Miller Park. The Reds won the last game 7-4, and Cincinnati leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Aug. 13 and can be seen on FSWI and FSOH.
Davies pitched 7.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs and striking out three in a 4-3 defeat to the Braves. Straily went 6.0 innings, surrendering two runs and striking out four in a 7-3 win over the Pirates in his most recent start. Adam Duvall (.245, 63 Rs, 27 HRs, 75 RBIs, 4 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 3 for 4 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and one RBI.
Milwaukee is a -123 favorite against Cincinnati and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Brewers have an overall money line of -438 and a record as the favorite of 18-15. Within its division, Milwaukee has a 3-3 record as favorite and a 16-23 record SU. Milwaukee leads the MLB in steals, swiping 123 bases.
As for their opponent, Cincinnati is coming in with an overall money line of -869 and a disappointing record of 30-61 as the underdog. They have played poorly as the underdog with a 15-26 record against teams in their division, and a 5-5 record SU. The Reds are an excellent base stealing team with 106 stolen bases, ranking second in the MLB. The Reds allow 5.5 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 3.5 runs per game during that span.
The Reds lead the season series, 6-5. The Brewers have a 30-48 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Straily takes the mound. Davies (RHP) will be on the hill against the Reds, who have a 38-50 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIL, O/U - Over
The Brewers are 16-24 against their divisional rivals, while the Reds are 19-28 against their division.
The Brewers managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Reds who are coming in with an 18-19 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When outhit, the Brewers and the Reds both have records of 8-52.
Cincinnati ranks near the bottom of the league at 21st when it comes to home runs, hitting 124 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the bottom half with 125.
Milwaukee and Cincinnati both rank in the top half of the league in hits. Milwaukee sits at 12th with 8.18 hits per game and Cincinnati ranks 11th with 8.19.
Ranking 25th, Cincinnati is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.708). Milwaukee ranks in the bottom half at 19th with an OPS of .730.
When the Reds allow at least one home run, they are 33-55, well-matched with the Brewers who are 31-47 when allowing at least one homer.