Adam Conley (8-6, 3.70 ERA) and James Shields (5-14, 5.43 ERA) take the hill in the second of a three-game series between the Miami Marlins (60-55) and the Chicago White Sox (55-60) at Marlins Park. The White Sox won the last game 4-2, and Chicago leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Saturday, Aug. 13 and can be seen on CSCh and FSFL.
Conley pitched 5.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering six runs, striking out two and walking four in a 10-7 win over the Rockies. Shields went 1.1 innings, surrendering eight runs, striking out one and walking two in a 10-2 defeat to the Orioles in his last outing. Todd Frazier (.211, 64 Rs, 31 HRs, 72 RBIs, 8 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Miami is a -178 favorite against Chicago and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Marlins have an overall money line of +310 and a record as the favorite of 29-26. Against the AL, they have had a discouraging season, earning 1-3 and 4-7 records as the favorite and SU, respectively. The Marlins have seen an uptick in scoring against teams in the AL, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They average 4.3 runs per game on the season. The Marlins lead the NL in hits with a phenomenal 9.4 per game. Opposing batters know they're in for a battle when they play Miami. The Marlins are one of the top teams when it comes to pitching, allowing just 3.8 runs per home game.
As for their opponent, Chicago is coming in with an overall money line of -718 and a disappointing record of 24-37 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 2-7 record and a 3-7 record SU. Offensively, the White Sox have really sputtered in interleague games. They have decreased their season average of 4.0 runs per game by averaging 3.3 in those contests. Shifting to the pitching staff and defense, the White Sox allow just 4.3 runs per game, ranking them fifth in the AL.
The White Sox have the edge in the season series, 1-0. The Marlins have a 41-47 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Shields takes the mound. Conley (LHP) will be on the hill against the White Sox, who have an 11-11 record against left-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIA, O/U - Over
Miami has won 49% (25-26) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Chicago has won 52% (27-25) of its games when taking a late lead.
The White Sox managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Marlins who are heading in with a 28-12 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the White Sox are 40-10. The Marlins have a 50-12 record when outhitting opponents.
Miami and Chicago both rank near the bottom of the league in runs. Miami sits at 21st with 489 runs this season and Chicago ranks 26th with 456.
Both Miami and Chicago are tied at 20th in walks with a total of 330 this season.
The Marlins are 43-26 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The White Sox are 40-34 when they hit at least one homer.