Logan Verrett (3-7, 4.66 ERA) and Paul Clemens (1-2, 4.61 ERA) start in the first of a three-game series between the New York Mets (57-57) and the San Diego Padres (49-65) at Citi Field. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Aug. 12 and can be seen on SNY and FSSD.
Verrett pitched 3.2 innings in his last outing, surrendering six runs, striking out two and walking two in a 6-5 defeat to the Tigers. Yoenis Cespedes (.289, 49 Rs, 22 HRs, 59 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday. Clemens went 4.1 innings, surrendering three runs (one unearned) and striking out two in a 9-7 win over the Phillies in his most recent start. Wil Myers (.278, 75 Rs, 22 HRs, 69 RBIs, 21 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday.
New York is a -150 favorite against San Diego and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at eight runs. The Mets have an overall money line of -1,510 and a record as the favorite of 42-37. The Mets are the fifth-best team in the NL at limiting hits during home games, allowing only 8.2 hits per game to their opponents this season. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Mets, who rank fifth in the NL in strikeouts per game with 8.5.
In the other locker room, in contrast to an encouraging overall money line (+102), San Diego has an unimpressive 37-58 record when playing as the underdog. The Padres are an excellent base stealing team with 99 stolen bases, ranking third in the MLB.
The Mets have a 44-41 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Clemens takes the mound. Verrett (RHP) will be on the hill against the Padres, who have a 34-52 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
San Diego has won 44% (21-27) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, New York has won 49% (20-21) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Padres didn't score any runs in their last game. The Mets have a 9-0 record when they don't allow any runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Mets are 36-10. The Padres have a 38-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 29th in runs, New York has earned 418 this season. San Diego ranks 17th with 504 runs.
Ranking 24th, San Diego is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 322 this season. New York ranks in the top half with 342.
The Mets are 49-29 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Padres are 41-34 when they hit at least one homer.