Kyle Gibson (4-6, 4.86 ERA) and the Minnesota Twins (46-69) go up against Yordano Ventura (7-9, 4.64 ERA) and the Kansas City Royals (55-59) in the first of a three-game division series at Target Field. The game starts at 8:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Aug. 12 and will air on FSKC and FSN.
In his last start, Gibson pitched 5.0 innings, giving up two runs, striking out two and walking four in a 6-3 victory over the Rays. Brian Dozier (.262, 66 Rs, 23 HRs, 66 RBIs, 8 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday. The Royals were victorious over the Blue Jays 7-1 the last time Ventura pitched. He went 6.2 innings, allowing one run, striking out four and walking four. Cheslor Cuthbert (.303, 33 Rs, 9 HRs, 36 RBIs, 1 SB) has been hitting the ball well for the Royals, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Minnesota is a slight -106 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. The Twins have a losing record of 10-15 when playing as the favorite and an overall money line of -1,147. They have disappointing records of 2-6 as the favorite and 14-26 SU within their division. Over their past 10 games, Minnesota's offense has been playing lights out, averaging 6.7 runs per game, well over their season average of 4.6. The Twins are a dangerous hitting team with 382 extra base hits, one of the highest totals in the MLB. They have been very patient at the plate, ranking fourth in the AL with an average of 3.2 walks per game. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Twins don't give up many walks to opposing batters, leading the AL with only 2.6 walks allowed per game.
On the other side, the Royals have a subpar record of 27-47 when they are the underdog and are -202 overall with the money line. Against teams in their division, they are 24-16 SU, but have a 10-14 record when they were an underdog to win. Kansas City has stepped up their play against division opponents. They have averaged 4.7 runs per game, more than their season average of 3.8. Opposing pitchers have routinely struggled to strike out the Kansas City batters, who rank fifth in the AL with 7.4 strikeouts per game. Kansas City's pitching staff and defense as a whole have been firing on all cylinders so far, ranking third in the AL with only four runs allowed per road game.
The Royals have gotten the best of the Twins in head-to-head matchups this season, going 5-1. This game will feature Ventura (RHP) on the mound against the Twins, who have a 15-28 home and 31-53 overall record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Gibson will take the mound against the Royals, who have a 42-44 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIN, O/U - Over
The Royals sit at 25-16 against the division, while the Twins are 14-26
Minnesota recorded at least two errors for the 17th time this season.
The Twins are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded six strikeouts. The Royals have a record of 22-24 when opponents' pitchers have six strikeouts or less.
It looks like the Royals have a slight leg up on the Twins, as the Royals have won their last two games while the Twins have lost their last three.
When they outhit their opponents, the Royals are 43-16. The Twins have a 33-7 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 27th in runs, Kansas City has earned 436 this season. Minnesota ranks 10th with 530 runs.
Ranking 30th, Kansas City is at the bottom of the league in walks, notching 258 this season. Minnesota ranks in the top half at 11th with 364.
When the Twins hit at least one home run, they are 38-36, well-matched with the Royals who are 37-32 when hitting one or more homers.