Francisco Liriano (6-11, 5.34 ERA) and the Toronto Blue Jays (65-50) meet Joe Musgrove (0-0, 0.79 ERA) and the Houston Astros (60-55) in the first of a three-game series at the Rogers Centre. The game gets underway at 7:07 p.m. ET on Friday, Aug. 12 and will air on RTSW and RSN1.
In his most recent outing, Liriano pitched 6.0 innings, giving up three runs (one unearned), striking out five and walking two in a 4-3 victory over the Royals. Josh Donaldson (.294, 92 Rs, 27 HRs, 77 RBIs, 6 SBs) went 1 for 5 Wednesday with two runs. The Astros were unsuccessful the last time Musgrove pitched. He pitched well, going 7.0 innings, allowing one run and striking out six in a 5-3 loss to the Rangers. Carlos Correa (.273, 58 Rs, 18 HRs, 78 RBIs, 10 SBs) has been hitting the ball well, going 2 for 4 yesterday with three runs, one home run, and one RBI.
Toronto is a -133 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is nine runs. The Blue Jays perform well as a favorite with a 53-34 record and have an overall money line of +six. Toronto has averaged 3.3 runs per game over the last 10 games, lower than its season average of 4.8. The Blue Jays rank second in the majors in home runs with 162. They have been very patient at the plate during home games, leading the AL with an average of 4.0 walks per game. Transitioning to the pitching staff, the Blue Jays don't allow many hitters to get on base, ranking fifth in the league with a 1.214 WHIP.
On the other side, the Astros have a record of 17-14 when they are the underdog and are -874 overall with the money line. They also have some of the most overpowering arms in baseball with an AL-high 8.7 strikeouts per game.
The Blue Jays are 3-1 against the Astros this season. The Blue Jays will take on a right-hander (Musgrove) in this game and have a 49-32 record against right-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Astros will be the left-hander Liriano. They sport a 17-20 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - TOR, O/U - Over
Toronto won its last game in a shutout, its seventh of the season. Houston has been shut out six times this season.
The Blue Jays are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Astros have an 11-28 record when opponents give up two walks or less.
When they are outhit, the Astros are 9-49. The Blue Jays have an 8-38 record when opponents outhit them.
Houston ranks in the top half of the league at 12th when it comes to home runs, hitting 139 this season. Toronto ranks in the top five with 162.
Toronto and Houston both rank in the top half of the league in hits. Toronto sits at 12th with 8.41 hits per game and Houston ranks 14th with 8.28.
Ranking 16th, Houston is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.737). Toronto ranks in the top 10 at ninth with an OPS of .759.
The Astros are 37-34 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Blue Jays are 38-38 when they allow at least one homer.