Jake Arrieta (13-5, 2.59 ERA) takes the hill for the Chicago Cubs (72-41) as they square off against Adam Wainwright (9-6, 4.34 ERA) and the St. Louis Cardinals (60-55) in the second of a four-game series at Wrigley Field. The Cubs won the last game 4-3, continuing a 10-game winning streak. Action begins at 2:20 p.m. ET on Friday, Aug. 12 and can be seen on WLS and FSMW.
Arrieta pitched 8.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering zero runs, striking out four and walking one in a 4-0 win over the Athletics. Anthony Rizzo (.290, 70 Rs, 24 HRs, 82 RBIs, 3 SBs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run and one RBI. Wainwright went 6.0 innings, surrendering six runs, striking out three and walking three in a 6-3 defeat to the Braves in his most recent start. Brandon Moss (.262, 46 Rs, 19 HRs, 48 RBIs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
This one isn't expected to be close when Chicago, a big -182 favorite, takes on St. Louis. Though the Cubs have had a tough season in terms of their overall money line (-31), they have done fairly well as a favorite with a record of 66-33. Chicago is an impressive 8-1 as the favorite over its last 10 games. The Cubs have seen an uptick in scoring against teams inside their division, averaging 6.0 runs per game. They average 5.0 runs per game on the season. Chicago's pitching staff has been doing better against opposing offenses during the last 10 games, only allowing an average of 2.1 runs per game, well under their season average of 3.4. The Cubs are the top team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.109 so far this season.
In games where it is the underdog, St. Louis has a 17-18 record and an overall money line of -430. They are 6-6 as the underdog against teams in their division, and 26-20 SU. Offensively, the Cardinals have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 5.0 runs per game by averaging 3.5 during that stretch. The Cardinals can change the game with one swing of the bat, ranking fourth in the league with 155 home runs. The Cardinals allow 4.3 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 5.5 runs per game during that span.
The Cubs have a 45-30 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Wainwright takes the mound. Arrieta (RHP) will be on the hill against the Cardinals, who have a 45-35 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - CHC
The Cubs sit at 29-14 against their divisional rivals, while the Cardinals are 26-21.
St. Louis has won 55% (28-23) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Chicago has won 68% (39-18) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Cardinals managed to give up six walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Cubs who are heading in with a 27-7 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Cubs are 60-12. The Cardinals have a 42-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Chicago and St. Louis both rank in the top five of the league in runs. Chicago sits at third with 568 runs this season and St. Louis ranks fourth with 567.
Chicago ranks at the top of the league when it comes to walks with 469 this season. St. Louis ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 395.
The Cubs are 52-20 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Cardinals are 48-34 when they hit at least one homer.