David Price (9-8, 4.34 ERA) and the Boston Red Sox (61-52) go up against Patrick Corbin (4-11, 5.37 ERA) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (48-66) in the first of a three-game interleague series at Fenway Park. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Friday, Aug. 12 and will air on FSAZ and NESN.
In his last start, Price pitched 5.0 innings, giving up six runs (three unearned), striking out three and walking five in an 8-5 loss to the Dodgers. Mookie Betts (.312, 87 Rs, 23 HRs, 75 RBIs, 18 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 4 with one RBI. The Diamondbacks were also unsuccessful the last time Corbin pitched. He struggled, going 5.0 innings, allowing four runs, striking out five and walking five in a 15-6 loss to the Brewers. Paul Goldschmidt (.299, 67 Rs, 18 HRs, 74 RBIs, 16 SBs) has been doing well, going 2 for 3 yesterday with one run and two stolen bases.
Boston is a heavy -220 favorite at home and the Over/Under (O/U) for this matchup is set at nine runs. When playing as the favorite, the Red Sox have a 44-36 record and overall money line at -630. They have performed well against the NL to earn a SU record of 9-5 and an 8-3 record when they were the favorite. The Red Sox have the most prolific offense in the entire AL, averaging 5.4 runs per game. The Red Sox are a superb hitting team with an MLB-best .283 team batting average. They have been very patient at the plate, ranking third in the AL with an average of 3.4 walks per game. Whenever a National League opponent shows up on the calendar, the Red Sox pitch better. They allow an average of 4.7 runs per game, but allow just 3.6 against teams from the NL.
Moving on to the away team, the Diamondbacks come into this game with a weak win percentage of .382 when playing as the underdog (26-42) and an overall money line of -1,613. Against AL opponents, they are 5-9 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 2-7 record. The Diamondbacks are one of the top road hitting teams in the NL, averaging 9.2 hits in games away from home. The Diamondbacks have racked up 85 steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league. Arizona's pitching staff has allowed an average of 7.1 runs per game during the last 10 games, higher than their season average of 5.4.
The Red Sox will take on a left-hander (Corbin) in this game and have a 13-13 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. The left-handed Price will take the mound against the Diamondbacks, who have a 15-15 record against lefty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - BOS, O/U - Over
Arizona won its last game in a shutout, its sixth of the season. Boston has been shut out four times this season.
The Red Sox are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Diamondbacks have a 19-35 record when opponents give up two walks or less.
It looks like the Diamondbacks have a slight leg up on the Red Sox, as the Diamondbacks have won their last four games while the Red Sox have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Diamondbacks are 35-12. The Red Sox have a 54-15 record when outhitting opponents.
Boston ranks at the top of the league when it comes to runs with 609 this season. Arizona ranks in the top half with 509.
Ranking 25th, Arizona is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 313 this season. Boston ranks in the top 10 at eighth with 387.
When the Red Sox hit at least one home run, they are 49-35, well-matched with the Diamondbacks who are 40-36 when hitting one or more homers.