Jake Thompson (0-1, 12.46 ERA) and Jon Gray (8-5, 4.26 ERA) take the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Philadelphia Phillies (53-63) and the Colorado Rockies (56-59) at Citizens Bank Park. Action begins at 7:05 p.m. ET on Friday, Aug. 12 and can be seen on CSPh and RTRM.
Thompson pitched 4.1 innings in his last outing, surrendering six runs, striking out one and walking two in a 9-7 defeat to the Padres. Odubel Herrera (.284, 61 Rs, 12 HRs, 39 RBIs, 18 SBs) went 1 for 1 Wednesday with one run and one stolen base. Gray went 3.2 innings, surrendering eight runs, striking out three and walking one in a 10-7 defeat to the Marlins in his most recent start. Trevor Story (.272, 67 Rs, 27 HRs, 72 RBIs, 8 SBs) went 1 for 2 yesterday with one RBI.
Colorado takes on Philadelphia as a -141 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at eight runs. The Phillies have an overall money line of +473 and a record as the underdog of 36-50. The Phillies have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.2 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 3.7 runs per game. As for the pitchers, the Phillies are the second-best team in the NL at limiting walks during home games, allowing only 2.6 walks per game to their opponents this season. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Phillies, who rank fifth in the NL in strikeouts per home game with 9.2.
In games where it is the favorite, Colorado has a 25-19 record and an overall money line of +172. Offensively, they average 5.2 runs per game, which the best in the NL. The Rockies have a dynamic offense, ranking third in the league with 398 extra base hits. Moving on to Colorado's pitching staff and defense, the Rockies allow just three runs per road game, ranking them third in the NL. When it comes to preventing batters from getting hits, the Rockies are fourth in the NL on the road with an average of 7.8 hits allowed per away game.
The Phillies have a 40-50 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Gray takes the mound. Thompson (RHP) will be on the hill against the Rockies, who have a 42-40 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - COL, O/U - Over
Colorado has won 44% (24-30) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Philadelphia has won 48% (26-28) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Rockies are coming into this meeting after a high-scoring game where they scored an impressive 12 runs. The Phillies have a 0-2 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Rockies are 43-11. The Phillies have a 35-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 28th in runs, Philadelphia has earned 431 this season. Colorado ranks second with 603 runs.
Ranking 29th, Philadelphia is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 287 this season. Colorado ranks in the top 10 with 369.
When the Phillies hit at least one home run, they are 44-33, well-matched with the Rockies who are 43-29 when hitting one or more homers.