Noah Syndergaard (9-6, 2.64 ERA) and Braden Shipley (1-1, 4.15 ERA) are on the hill in the last of a three-game series between the New York Mets (57-56) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (47-66) at Citi Field. The Diamondbacks won the last game 3-2, and Arizona leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 12:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 11 and can be seen on FSAZ and SNY.
Syndergaard pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering four runs, striking out seven and walking two in a 4-3 defeat to the Tigers. Jay Bruce (.259, 63 Rs, 27 HRs, 84 RBIs, 4 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday. Shipley went 6.0 innings, surrendering two runs, striking out two and walking six in a 3-2 win over the Brewers in his most recent start. Paul Goldschmidt (.297, 66 Rs, 18 HRs, 74 RBIs, 14 SBs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 4 yesterday with two RBIs.
This one isn't expected to be close when New York, a substantial -222 favorite, takes on Arizona. The matchup has an estimated Over/Under (O/U) of seven runs. The Mets have an overall money line of -1,169 and a record as the favorite of 42-35. The Mets are the top team in the NL at limiting walks to their opponents, allowing only 2.6 walks per game so far this season. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Mets, who rank fifth in the NL in strikeouts per game with 8.5.
Over in the other dugout, Arizona is coming in with an overall money line of -1,926 and a disappointing record of 24-42 as the underdog. They played poorly as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 2-5 record and a 4-6 record SU. The Diamondbacks allow 5.5 runs per game, but have damaged those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 8.0 runs per game during that span.
The Diamondbacks have the edge in the season series, 2-0. The Mets have a 44-40 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Shipley takes the mound. Syndergaard (RHP) will be on the hill against the Diamondbacks, who have a 31-51 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYM, O/U - Over
The Diamondbacks won their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Mets are 19-18. The Diamondbacks are 14-11 in close games this season.
The Mets are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Diamondbacks have a 19-35 record when opponents give up two walks or less.
It looks like the Diamondbacks have a slight leg up on the Mets, as the Diamondbacks have won their last three games while the Mets have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Diamondbacks are 34-12. The Mets have a 36-10 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 29th in runs, New York has earned 418 this season. Arizona ranks 17th with 500 runs.
Ranking 26th, Arizona is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 308 this season. New York ranks in the top half with 341.
The Mets are 49-29 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Diamondbacks are 39-36 when they hit at least one homer.