In the third of a four-game series between the Minnesota Twins (46-67) and the Houston Astros (58-55) at Target Field, Jose Berrios (2-2, 8.31 ERA) and Doug Fister (10-7, 3.47 ERA) take the mound. The Astros won the last game 7-5, and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 1:10 p.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 11 and will air on RTSW.
In his last start, Berrios pitched 5.0 innings, allowing four runs, striking out four and walking one in a 7-3 loss to the Rays. Max Kepler (.259, 39 Rs, 15 HRs, 49 RBIs, 4 SBs) continued his strong season Tuesday, going 2 for 5. The Astros were unsuccessful against the Rangers 3-2 the last time Fister pitched. He went 6.0 innings, allowing one run, striking out two and walking two. Jose Altuve (.361, 82 Rs, 19 HRs, 68 RBIs, 26 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Astros, going 4 for 4 Tuesday with two runs, one RBI, and one stolen base.
Minnesota is a +118 underdog in this game, and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at nine runs. When playing as the underdog, the Twins have a 36-53 record and overall money line at -1,042. The most recent 10-game stretch for the Twins has gone great. Over that span, Minnesota is averaging 6.6 runs per game, well over their season average of 4.6. The Twins rank fifth in the majors in extra base hits with 374.
Switching to the opposing dugout, the Astros come into this game with a win percentage of .506 when playing as the favorite (42-41) and an overall money line of -1,074. The Astros will be looking to pick it up in this one after recent offensive struggles. In their 10 most recent games, Houston's run production has dropped to 2.3 runs per game, compared to 4.6 for the duration of the season. Houston's pitching staff and defense as a whole have been firing on all cylinders so far, averaging an AL-best 4.0 runs allowed per game. They also have some of the most overpowering arms in the AL with an average of 8.7 strikeouts per game.
The Astros are 3-2 against the Twins this season. This game will feature Fister (RHP) on the mound against the Twins, who have a 15-27 home and 31-52 overall record when they take on a right-handed starter. The right-handed Berrios will take the mound against the Astros, who have a 42-35 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - HOU, O/U - Over
When leading after seven innings, Houston is 29-23, while Minnesota is 25-25.
The Astros managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Twins who are heading in with a 22-18 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Twins are 33-7. The Astros have a 44-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 19th in runs, Houston has earned 491 this season. Minnesota ranks 12th with 521 runs.
Ranking 11th, Minnesota is in the top half of the league in walks, notching 362 this season. Houston ranks in the top five with 402.
The Twins are 38-35 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Astros are 49-32 when they hit at least one homer.