In the last of a four-game series between the Toronto Blue Jays (57-52) and the Minnesota Twins (54-53) at the Rogers Centre, Mark Buehrle (11-5, 3.32 ERA) and Kyle Gibson (8-8, 3.37 ERA) take the mound. The Blue Jays won the last game 9-7 and Toronto can finish out the series sweep with a win in this game. The game starts at 7:07 p.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 6 and will air on FSN and RSN.
In his last start, Buehrle pitched 7.0 innings, giving up three runs (one unearned) and striking out three in a 7-6 loss to the Royals. Josh Donaldson (.292, 77 Rs, 29 HRs, 80 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and two RBIs. The Twins were unsuccessful to the Mariners 3-2 the last time Gibson pitched. He went 7.0 innings, allowing two runs, striking out four and walking one. Trevor Plouffe (.253, 50 Rs, 14 HRs, 57 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with two RBIs.
Toronto is a considerable -180 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at eight runs. The Blue Jays perform well as a favorite with a 41-24 record, but haven't fared as well with the overall money line (-189). Over the last 10 games, they have a very good record when playing as the favorite (7-3). The Blue Jays have the most prolific offense in the entire AL, averaging 5.3 runs per game. The Blue Jays are a superb hitting team with 8.9 hits per game, one of the highest marks in the AL. They have been very patient at the plate during home games, leading the AL with an average of 3.6 walks per game. Toronto's pitching staff performs very well on its own field, recording a low 3.33 team ERA at home. The Blue Jays don't give up many hits to opposing batters at the Rogers Centre, ranking second in the AL with only 7.7 hits allowed per home game.
On the other side, the Twins have a record of 42-44 when they are the underdog and are +1,144 overall with the money line. Over the past 10 matchups, they are 2-8 SU and have a poor 0-7 record when they were an underdog to win. The last 10 games have really brought the worst out of the Minnesota pitchers. They allowed 5.9 runs per game during that span, which is higher than their season average of 4.3.
The Blue Jays have gotten the best of the Twins in head-to-head matchups this season, going 4-2. This game will feature Gibson (RHP) on the mound against the Blue Jays, who have a 42-41 record when they take on a right-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Twins will be the left-hander Buehrle. They sport a 21-17 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - Tor, O/U - Over
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games.
Minnesota is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road.
Minnesota is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road.
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto.
Minnesota is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Toronto.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 11 games when playing on the road against Toronto.
The Blue Jays are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Twins have a 24-37 record when opponents give up that many walks or fewer.
It looks like the Blue Jays have a slight leg up on the Twins, as the Blue Jays have won their last four games while the Twins have lost their last four.
When they outhit their opponents, the Twins are 38-5. The Blue Jays have a 48-6 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking first in runs, Toronto has earned 578 this season. Minnesota ranks 13th with 447 runs.
Toronto ranks at the top of the league when it comes to walks with 367 this season. Minnesota ranks near the bottom at 23rd with 265.
The Blue Jays are 51-28 when they hit at least one home run. The Twins perform similarly when they hit one or more homers with a 41-21 record.