Runs may be hard to come by in this one as J.A. Happ (15-3, 3.09 ERA) and the Toronto Blue Jays (64-50) go up against Blake Snell (3-4, 2.95 ERA) and the Tampa Bay Rays (46-66) in the last of a three-game series at the Rogers Centre. The Rays won the last game 9-2, and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game starts at 7:07 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 10 and will air on RSN and SUN.
In his last start, Happ pitched 6.0 innings, allowing one run, striking out six and walking one in a 4-1 victory over the Astros. Josh Donaldson (.296, 90 Rs, 27 HRs, 77 RBIs, 6 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday. The Rays were unsuccessful the last time Snell pitched. He pitched well, going 5.1 innings, giving up one run, striking out seven and walking two in a 6-2 loss to the Twins. Brad Miller (.263, 52 Rs, 20 HRs, 48 RBIs, 6 SBs) has been doing well offensively for the Rays, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Toronto is a considerable -190 favorite at home and the Over/Under (O/U) for this matchup is nine runs. The Blue Jays perform well as a favorite with a 52-34 record, but haven't fared as well with the overall money line (-94). They have impressive records of 19-12 as the favorite and 26-21 SU within their division. Toronto has averaged 2.8 runs per game over the last 10 games, lower than its season average of 4.8. The Blue Jays rank fifth in the majors in extra base hits with 373. They have been very patient at the plate, leading the AL with an average of 3.8 walks per game. Turning to the pitching and defensive side, the Toronto pitching staff and defense has been very good, only giving up 4.1 runs per game. The Blue Jays are fifth in the league in WHIP at 1.217.
On the other side, the Rays have a subpar record of 19-30 when they are the underdog and are -2,644 overall with the money line. Against divisional opponents, they are 19-23 SU and 10-14 as the underdog. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has been an intimidating group this year, averaging 8.4 strikeouts per game.
The Rays have gotten the better of the Blue Jays in head-to-head matchups this season, going 7-5. This game will feature Snell (LHP) on the mound against the Blue Jays, who have a 15-18 record when they take on a left-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Rays will be the left-hander Happ. They sport a 12-14 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - TOR, O/U - Over
The Blue Jays hold a 26-21 record this season against teams in the AL East Division. The Rays' record in these matchups is 19-23.
Tampa Bay has won 39% (18-28) of its games when leading after seven innings. However, Toronto has won 51% (25-24) of its games when taking a late lead.
The Rays are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded three strikeouts. The Blue Jays have a record of 3-2 when opponents' pitchers have three strikeouts or less.
When they outhit their opponents, the Rays are 29-10. The Blue Jays have a 51-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 23rd in runs, Tampa Bay has earned 454 this season. Toronto ranks sixth with 544 runs.
Ranking 16th, Tampa Bay is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 338 this season. Toronto ranks in the top five at second with 433.
When the Blue Jays hit at least one home run, they are 56-29. When the Rays hit at least one homer, they have a 39-40 record.