Chase Anderson (6-10, 5.01 ERA) and Joel De La Cruz (0-4, 3.41 ERA) start in the third of a four-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (49-62) and the Atlanta Braves (43-70) at Miller Park. The Braves won the last game 2-1, and Atlanta leads the series 2-0. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 10 and can be seen on FSWI and FSSE.
Anderson pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering two runs, striking out five and walking two in a 3-2 defeat to the Diamondbacks. Chris Carter (.217, 52 Rs, 25 HRs, 61 RBIs) had another good game yesterday, going 2 for 3. De La Cruz went 5.1 innings, surrendering one run, striking out two and walking five in a 1-0 defeat to the Cardinals in his most recent start. Matt Kemp (.260, 60 Rs, 24 HRs, 74 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run.
Milwaukee is a -147 favorite against Atlanta and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. The Brewers have an overall money line of -638 and a record as the favorite of 16-15. Milwaukee is a disappointing 1-3 as the favorite over its last 10 games. Milwaukee leads the MLB in steals, swiping 120 bases.
Over in the other dugout, Atlanta is coming in with an overall money line of -432 and a disappointing record of 40-60 as the underdog. They played solid baseball as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 7-2 record and a 7-3 record SU. Offensively, the Braves have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.5 runs per game by averaging 4.8 during that stretch. Atlanta is excellent at making contact with just 7.6 strikeouts per game, ranking fourth in the NL. The Braves allow 4.6 runs per game, but have improved upon those numbers in the past 10 games, allowing 3.4 runs per game during that span.
The Brewers lead the season series, 3-2. The Brewers have a bad 28-48 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when De La Cruz takes the mound. Anderson (RHP) will be on the hill against the Braves, who have a 31-43 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIL, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Braves won by a margin of one run. The Brewers are 15-22 in one-run games. The Braves have a 14-16 record in close games.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Brewers are going to have to step it up if they want to win this matchup. The Braves have a 17-3 record in games where opponents scored one run or less.
It looks like the Braves have a slight leg up on the Brewers, as the Braves have won their last four games while the Brewers have lost their last three.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 32-18. The Brewers have a 40-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th, Atlanta sits at the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 401 this season. Milwaukee ranks near the bottom at 25th with 450.
Ranking 20th, Atlanta is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 324 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top five at third with 423.
The Brewers are 38-29 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Braves are 24-25 when they hit at least one homer.