Ervin Santana (5-9, 3.62 ERA) and Dallas Keuchel (7-11, 4.56 ERA) take the hill in the third of a four-game series between the Minnesota Twins (46-67) and the Houston Astros (58-55) at Target Field. The Astros won the last game 7-5, and the series is currently tied 1-1. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 10 and can be seen on RTSW and FSN.
Santana pitched 6.1 innings in his most recent start, surrendering two runs and striking out eight in a 6-2 win over the Rays. Max Kepler (.259, 39 Rs, 15 HRs, 49 RBIs, 4 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 5. Keuchel went 9.0 innings, surrendering zero runs, striking out seven and walking two in a 5-0 win over the Rangers in his last outing. Jose Altuve (.361, 82 Rs, 19 HRs, 68 RBIs, 26 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Astros, going 4 for 4 yesterday with two runs, one RBI, and one stolen base.
Houston takes on Minnesota as a -141 favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at eight runs. The Twins have an overall money line of -942 and a record as the underdog of 36-52. Minnesota has gone 6-2 in its last 10 as the underdog. The Twins have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 6.6 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.6 runs per game. The Twins are one of the best in the MLB in terms of extra base hits with 374.
In games where it is the favorite, Houston has a 41-41 record and an overall money line of -1,174. They played poorly as the favorite over their last 10 games with a 2-5 record and a 2-8 record SU. Offensively, the Astros have really sputtered in the last 10 games. They have decreased their season average of 4.3 runs per game by averaging 1.8 during that stretch. The Astros are an excellent base stealing team with 82 stolen bases, ranking fifth in the MLB. Shifting to the pitching staff and defense, the Astros allow just 4.0 runs per game, ranking them first in the AL. The Astros have established a reputation of overwhelming hitters with an AL-best 8.7 strikeouts per game, making them one of the top five teams in the league.
The Astros lead the season series, 3-2. The Twins have a 15-15 record against left-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Keuchel takes the mound. Santana (RHP) will be on the hill against the Astros, who have a 42-35 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - HOU, O/U - Over
When leading after seven innings, Houston is 29-23, while Minnesota is 25-25.
The Astros managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Twins who are heading in with a 22-18 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Twins are 33-7. The Astros have a 44-5 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 19th, Houston sits in the bottom half of the league in runs, scoring 491 this season. Minnesota ranks in the top half at 11th with 521.
Ranking 10th, Minnesota is in the top 10 of the league in walks, notching 362 this season. Houston ranks in the top five with 402.
The Twins are 38-35 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Astros are 49-32 when they hit at least one homer.