CC Sabathia (4-8, 5.54 ERA) and the New York Yankees (60-46) go up against Eduardo Rodriguez (6-3, 4.34 ERA) and the Boston Red Sox (48-60) in the last of a three-game division series at Yankee Stadium. The Red Sox won the last game 2-1 and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET on Thursday, Aug. 6 and will air on YES and NESN.
In his most recent outing, Sabathia pitched 5.0 innings, giving up five runs, striking out three and walking one in a 7-6 loss to the Rangers. Mark Teixeira (.268, 54 Rs, 29 HRs, 76 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 4 yesterday. The Red Sox were unsuccessful the last time Rodriguez pitched. He tossed 5.0 innings, allowing three runs, striking out four and walking four in a 7-5 loss to the Rays. David Ortiz (.244, 43 Rs, 21 HRs, 60 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and one RBI.
New York is a -156 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is nine runs. The Yankees perform well as a favorite with a 37-24 record and have an overall money line of +354. They have impressive records of 16-9 as the favorite and 25-18 SU within their division. The Yankees have one of the most prolific offenses in the entire AL, averaging 5.0 runs per game. The Yankees rank third in the AL in hits with 9.0 per game. They have been very patient at the plate, ranking third in the AL with an average of 3.3 walks per game.
Moving on to the away team, the Red Sox come into this game with a win percentage of .419 when playing as the underdog (18-25) and an overall money line of -1,871. Against divisional opponents, they are 20-29 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 10-12 record. During the last 10 games, they averaged 5.9 runs per game, above their 4.2 season average. The last 10 games have really brought the worst out of the Boston pitchers. They allowed 6.1 runs per game during that span, which is higher than their season average of 4.9.
The Yankees have mostly come out on top against the Red Sox in their previous 11 games this season, earning a 7-4 record. The Yankees will take on a left-hander (Rodriguez) in this game and have a 20-12 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. Taking the hill against the Red Sox will be the left-hander Sabathia. They sport an 11-17 record against southpaws.
Predictions: SU Winner - NYY, O/U - Over
Boston is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games.
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games on the road.
Boston is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games on the road.
Boston is 2-7 SU in their last 9 games when playing NY Yankees.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees.
In their last game, the Red Sox won by a margin of one run. The Yankees are 16-15 in one-run games. The Red Sox have a 15-13 record in close games.
Having scored one run in their last game, the Yankees are going to have to up their game if they want to win this matchup. The Red Sox have a 16-2 record in games where opponents scored that many runs or fewer.
When they are outhit, the Red Sox are 10-50. The Yankees have an 11-35 record when opponents outhit them.
Ranking 14th in home runs, Boston has hit 98 this season. New York ranks third with 145 home runs.
New York and Boston both rank in the top five of the league in hits. New York sits at third with 8.96 hits per game and Boston ranks fifth with 8.81.
Ranking 14th, Boston is in the top half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.714). New York ranks in the top five at second with an OPS of .770.
The Red Sox are 21-50 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Yankees are 31-36 when they allow at least one homer.