Wily Peralta (4-7, 6.68 ERA) and Tyrell Jenkins (1-2, 4.33 ERA) are on the hill in the second of a four-game series between the Milwaukee Brewers (49-61) and the Atlanta Braves (42-70) at Miller Park. The Braves won the last game 4-3, and Atlanta leads the series 1-0. Action begins at 8:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Aug. 9 and can be seen on FSWI and FSSE.
Peralta pitched 5.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering three runs, striking out four and walking one in a 7-4 win over the Mets. Ryan Braun (.323, 55 Rs, 18 HRs, 56 RBIs, 13 SBs) continued his strong play yesterday, going 2 for 4. Jenkins went 6.0 innings, surrendering one run, striking out two and walking four in a 5-2 win over the Pirates in his last outing. Matt Kemp (.260, 59 Rs, 24 HRs, 74 RBIs) has been successful at the plate, going 2 for 4 yesterday with one run and one RBI.
Milwaukee is a -140 favorite against Atlanta and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at nine runs. The Brewers have an overall money line of -378 and a record as the favorite of 16-13. Milwaukee leads the MLB in steals, swiping 120 bases.
As for their opponent, Atlanta is coming in with an overall money line of -672 and a disappointing record of 38-60 as the underdog. Offensively, the Braves have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.6 runs per game by averaging 4.9 during that stretch. Atlanta is excellent at making contact with just 7.6 strikeouts per game, ranking fourth in the NL.
The Brewers lead the season series, 3-1. The Brewers have a 28-46 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Jenkins takes the mound. Peralta (RHP) will be on the hill against the Braves, who have a 29-43 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - MIL, O/U - Over
The Braves won their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Brewers are 15-21. The Braves are 13-16 in close games this season.
The Brewers are coming into this game after allowing two walks during their last outing. The Braves have a 12-36 record when opponents give up two walks or less.
It looks like the Braves have a slight leg up on the Brewers, as the Braves have won their last three games while the Brewers have lost their last two.
When they outhit their opponents, the Braves are 31-18. The Brewers have a 40-9 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 30th in runs, Atlanta has earned 399 this season. Milwaukee ranks 24th with 449 runs.
Ranking 20th, Atlanta is in the bottom half of the league in walks, notching 320 this season. Milwaukee ranks in the top five at third with 419.
The Brewers are 38-28 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Braves are 24-25 when they hit at least one homer.