Tom Koehler (8-8, 4.05 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (59-53) go up against Matt Moore (7-7, 4.04 ERA) and the San Francisco Giants (64-48) in the second of a three-game series at Marlins Park. The Giants won the last game 8-7, and San Francisco leads the series 1-0. The game gets underway at 7:10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Aug. 9 and will air on CSBA and FSFL.
In his most recent outing, Koehler pitched 6.0 innings, allowing one run, striking out seven and walking one in a 5-4 loss to the Cubs. Giancarlo Stanton (.241, 51 Rs, 24 HRs, 66 RBIs) went 1 for 6 yesterday with one RBI. The Giants were victorious over the Phillies 3-2 the last time Moore pitched. He went 6.0 innings, allowing two runs, striking out seven and walking six. Brandon Crawford (.278, 45 Rs, 10 HRs, 70 RBIs, 4 SBs) has been doing well, going 7 for 8 yesterday with one run, two RBIs, and one stolen base.
Miami, a +107 underdog, will look to capitalize at home against San Francisco. The teams combine to set the Over/Under (O/U) at eight runs. When playing as the underdog, the Marlins have a 31-27 record and overall money line at +310. The most recent 10-game stretch for the Marlins has gone great. Over that span, Miami is averaging 5.6 runs per game, well over their season average of 4.3. Below average play has been the norm lately for the Miami pitchers. The Marlins have given up an average of 5.8 runs to opponents in their last 10 games, above their season average of 4.2 runs per game.
Switching to the opposing dugout, the Giants come into this game with a solid win percentage of .639 when playing as the favorite (46-26) and an overall money line of +309. San Francisco has an eye for the strike zone, ranking third in the NL with 3.6 walks per game. The Giants are one of the top pitching staffs in the NL, essentially shutting down opponents to the tune of 4.0 runs allowed per game. They have a WHIP of 1.215, fifth best in the MLB.
In their previous four games this season, the Giants have a 3-1 record. This game will feature Moore (LHP) on the mound against the Marlins, who have a 9-3 home and 18-7 overall record when they take on a left-handed starter. The right-handed Koehler will take the mound against the Giants, who have a 40-34 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - SF, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Giants won by a margin of one run. The Marlins are 15-12 in one-run games. The Giants have a 23-15 record in close games.
The Marlins managed to give up 11 walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Giants who are coming in with a 2-0 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 7-35. The Giants have a 12-33 record when opponents outhit them.
Miami and San Francisco both rank near the bottom of the league in home runs. Miami sits at 28th with 94 home runs this season and San Francisco ranks 29th with 93.
Ranking first in hits, Miami has earned 9.50 per game this season. San Francisco ranks fourth with 8.86 hits.
Ranking 16th, San Francisco is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.735). Miami ranks in the top half at 14th with an OPS of .744.
When the Giants allow at least one home run, they are 29-38, well-matched with the Marlins who are 25-32 when allowing at least one homer.