Michael Wacha (7-7, 4.35 ERA) and the St. Louis Cardinals (58-53) go up against Cody Reed (0-6, 7.30 ERA) and the Cincinnati Reds (45-65) in the first of a three-game division series at Busch Stadium. The game starts at 8:15 p.m. ET on Monday, Aug. 8 and will air on FSMW and FSOH.
In his most recent outing, Wacha pitched 5.0 innings, giving up two runs, striking out three and walking one in a 5-4 victory over the Reds. Brandon Moss (.262, 44 Rs, 18 HRs, 44 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one RBI. The Reds were unsuccessful against the Cardinals 5-4 the last time Reed pitched. He went 5.0 innings, allowing five runs, striking out one and walking one.
St. Louis is a considerable -190 favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is nine runs. The Cardinals are 41-35 as the favorite and have an overall money line of -442. They have impressive records of 18-13 as the favorite and 24-19 SU within their division. The Cardinals have one of the most prolific offenses in the entire NL, averaging 5.0 runs per game. The Cardinals are a dangerous hitting team with 387 extra base hits, one of the highest totals in the MLB. The Cardinals typically don't swing at bad pitches, which has led to an impressive 3.4 walks per game. St. Louis's pitching staff has fallen apart in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game rose to 6.3 during that span, compared to its 4.3 season average. The Cardinals are fifth in the NL in walks allowed with just 2.8 per game.
Across the field, the Reds have a subpar record of 29-59 when they are the underdog and are -847 overall with the money line. Against fellow NL Central members, they are 17-26 SU and have played poorly as the underdog with a 14-24 record. The Reds have racked up 95 steals on the year, making them one of the most threatening base-running teams in the league. Cincinnati's pitching staff has allowed an average of 2.6 runs per game during the last 10 games, lower than their season average of 5.5.
The Cardinals have gotten the best of the Reds in head-to-head matchups this season, going 5-4. This game will feature Reed (LHP) on the mound against the Cardinals, who have a 14-18 record when they take on a left-handed starter. Taking the hill against the Reds will be the right-hander Wacha. They sport a 37-49 record against righties.
Predictions: SU Winner - STL, O/U - Over
The Reds are struggling at 17-26 in their division, while the Cardinals sit at 24-19.
The Cardinals are coming off of a weak pitching game where they recorded five strikeouts. The Reds have a record of 9-6 when opponents' pitchers have five strikeouts or less.
When they are outhit, the Reds are 8-50. The Cardinals have a 13-46 record when opponents outhit them.
Cincinnati ranks in the bottom half of the league at 19th when it comes to home runs, hitting 122 this season. St. Louis ranks in the top five with 149.
Ranking 12th, Cincinnati is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 8.19 per game. St. Louis ranks in the top 10 at sixth with 8.77.
Ranking 26th, Cincinnati is near the bottom of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.708). St. Louis ranks in the top five with an OPS of .771.
When the Reds allow at least one home run, they are 31-54. When the Cardinals allow one or more homers, they have a 30-35 record.