Jose Fernandez (12-6, 2.87 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (59-52) take on Johnny Cueto (13-3, 2.73 ERA) and the San Francisco Giants (63-48) in a game that has the potential to be low scoring. This is the first of a three-game series at Marlins Park. Action begins at 7:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Aug. 8 and can be seen on CSBA and FSFL.
Fernandez pitched 6.0 innings in his last outing, surrendering three runs, striking out eight and walking two in a 3-2 defeat to the Cubs. Giancarlo Stanton (.242, 51 Rs, 24 HRs, 65 RBIs) went 1 for 4 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs. Cueto went 7.2 innings, surrendering four runs, striking out 10 and walking one in a 5-4 defeat to the Phillies in his most recent start. Eduardo Nunez (.293, 52 Rs, 12 HRs, 49 RBIs, 28 SBs) went 1 for 3 yesterday.
Miami is a -147 favorite against San Francisco and the Over/Under (O/U) for this game is sitting at six runs. The Marlins have an overall money line of +325 and a record as the favorite of 28-25. The Marlins have seen an uptick in scoring as of late, averaging 5.4 runs during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 4.2 runs per game.
In games where it is the underdog, San Francisco has a 17-22 record and an overall money line of +179. San Francisco is excellent at drawing walks with 3.6 per game, ranking third in the NL. Shifting to the pitching staff and defense, the Giants allow just 4.0 runs per game, ranking them fifth in the NL. When it comes to preventing batters from getting on base, the Giants are one of the best in the league with a WHIP of 1.217 for the season.
The Giants lead the season series, 2-1. The Marlins have a 40-45 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Cueto takes the mound. Fernandez (RHP) will be on the hill against the Giants, who have a 39-34 record against right-handed starting pitchers.
Predictions: SU Winner - SF, O/U - Over
In their last game, the Giants lost by a margin of one run. The Marlins are 15-11 in one-run games. The Giants have a 22-15 record in close games.
The Marlins are coming into this matchup after a high-scoring game where they scored a whopping 10 runs. The Giants have a 0-7 record when opponents score that many runs or more.
When they are outhit, the Marlins are 7-34. The Giants have a 12-33 record when opponents outhit them.
Miami and San Francisco both rank near the bottom of the league in home runs. Miami sits at 29th with 92 home runs this season and San Francisco ranks 28th with 93.
Ranking first in hits, Miami has earned 9.43 per game this season. San Francisco ranks fourth with 8.90 hits.
Ranking 17th, San Francisco is in the bottom half of the league for its on-base plus slugging percentage (.733). Miami ranks in the top half at 14th with an OPS of .745.
When the Giants allow at least one home run, they are 28-38, well-matched with the Marlins who are 25-32 when allowing at least one homer.