Julio Urias (1-2, 4.98 ERA) and Zach Eflin (3-4, 4.77 ERA) take the hill in the first of a three-game series between the Los Angeles Dodgers (62-49) and the Philadelphia Phillies (52-61) at Dodger Stadium. Action begins at 10:10 p.m. ET on Monday, Aug. 8 and can be seen on CSPh and SNLA.
Urias pitched 3.0 innings in his most recent start, surrendering three runs, striking out three and walking one in a 12-2 defeat to the Rockies. Justin Turner (.274, 54 Rs, 20 HRs, 65 RBIs, 3 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday with two runs, one home run, and one RBI. Eflin went 5.0 innings, surrendering six runs, striking out four and walking three in a 13-8 win over the Giants in his last outing. Odubel Herrera (.285, 60 Rs, 12 HRs, 39 RBIs, 17 SBs) has been successful at the plate for the Phillies, going 3 for 5 yesterday with one run, one home run, two RBIs, and one stolen base.
This one isn't expected to be close when Los Angeles, a substantial -205 favorite, takes on Philadelphia. The Over/Under (O/U) is sitting at eight runs for this matchup. Though the Dodgers have had a tough season in terms of their overall money line (-237), they have done fairly well as a favorite with a record of 54-30. It's been a struggle for opposing teams to score runs against the Dodgers. The 3.8 runs that Los Angeles's pitchers allow per game makes them the fourth-ranked staff in the NL. The Dodgers are the second-best team in the league at limiting hits and walks to their opponents, recording a WHIP of 1.133 so far this season. Opponents have consistently been struck out by the Dodgers, who lead the NL in strikeouts per game with 9.4.
In games where it is the underdog, Philadelphia has a 35-48 record and an overall money line of +482. They played solid baseball as the underdog over their last 10 games with a 5-2 record and a 6-4 record SU. Offensively, the Phillies have really picked up the pace in the last 10 games. They have exceeded their season average of 3.7 runs per game by averaging 5.6 during that stretch.
The Dodgers have a 48-35 record against right-handed starting pitchers on the year, which is what they'll be facing when Eflin takes the mound.
Predictions: SU Winner - LAD, O/U - Over
The Phillies won their last game by a one-run margin. In games decided by one run, the Dodgers are 16-17. The Phillies are 23-15 in close games this season.
The Dodgers managed to give up six walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Phillies who are coming in with a 4-4 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they are outhit, the Phillies are 11-49. The Dodgers have an 11-35 record when opponents outhit them.
Philadelphia ranks near the bottom of the league at 23rd when it comes to home runs, hitting 111 this season. Los Angeles ranks in the bottom half with 124.
Ranking 14th, Philadelphia is in the top half of the league in hits, notching 7.98 per game. Los Angeles ranks in the top 10 at ninth with 8.35.
Los Angeles and Philadelphia both rank near the bottom of the league for their on-base plus slugging percentage. Los Angeles sits at 21st with an OPS of .720, and Philadelphia ranks 29th with an OPS of .683.
The Phillies are 21-47 in games where they allow one or more home runs. The Dodgers are 27-37 when they allow at least one homer.