Jon Gray (8-4, 3.77 ERA) and the Colorado Rockies (55-55) meet Adam Conley (7-6, 3.41 ERA) and the Miami Marlins (58-52) in the last of a three-game series at Coors Field. The Rockies won the last game 12-6, and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 4:10 p.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 7 and will air on FSFL and RTRM.
In his last start, Gray pitched 5.0 innings, allowing zero runs, striking out six and walking two in a 7-3 victory over the Dodgers. Carlos Gonzalez (.321, 72 Rs, 23 HRs, 76 RBIs, 2 SBs) played well again yesterday, going 2 for 5 with one run and one RBI. The Marlins were unsuccessful the last time Conley pitched. He tossed 4.0 innings, allowing two runs, striking out four and walking six in a 5-0 loss to the Cubs. Giancarlo Stanton (.242, 50 Rs, 23 HRs, 63 RBIs) went 1 for 3 yesterday with one run, one home run, and two RBIs.
Colorado, a -125 favorite, will look to capitalize at home against Miami. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is 11 runs. The Rockies are 24-17 as the favorite and have an overall money line of +382. The Rockies have the most prolific offense in the entire NL, averaging 5.1 runs per game. The Rockies lead the NL in hits at home with 10.5 per game. The Rockies typically don't swing at bad pitches, which has led to an impressive 3.7 walks per home game. Colorado's pitching staff has put it all together in the past 10 games. Its average runs allowed per game dropped to 2.8 during that span, compared to its 5.0 season average.
Switching gears, the Marlins come into this game with a win percentage of .536 when playing as the underdog (30-26) and an overall money line of +425. Miami is the top hitting team in the NL with an average of 9.4 hits per contest. The Marlins average just 7.5 strikeouts per game, one of the lowest marks in the NL.
The Marlins have gotten the better of the Rockies in head-to-head matchups this season, going 4-2. The Rockies will take on a left-hander (Conley) in this game and have a 14-16 record against left-handed starting pitchers this season. The right-handed Gray will take the mound against the Marlins, who have a 40-44 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner - COL, O/U - Over
When leading after seven innings, Miami is 25-24, while Colorado is 23-28.
The Marlins managed to give up four walks in their last game. They'll have to pick it up against the Rockies who are heading in with a 23-17 record against opponents who give up that many walks or more.
When they outhit their opponents, the Marlins are 48-12. The Rockies have a 42-10 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 21st, Miami sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 468 this season. Colorado ranks in the top five at second with 572.
Ranking 23rd, Miami is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 312 this season. Colorado ranks in the top half at 11th with 350.
When the Rockies hit at least one home run, they are 42-26, well-matched with the Marlins who are 42-25 when hitting one or more homers.